Todd Muller on U.S. Election: A Decision That Could Spell "Disaster" for New Zealand

As the U.S. presidential election approaches, former MP Todd Muller warns that its outcome could have dire consequences for New Zealand. Just days away from a vote that Muller describes as one of the most critical in history, he speaks with Toby Manhire about why this election matters—not just for America, but for nations worldwide, particularly New Zealand.

The Stakes Are High

With the election set for November 5, 2023 (November 6 in New Zealand), Muller believes the contest hangs in the balance. A longtime observer of American politics, he highlights the unpredictability of current frontrunner Donald Trump as a significant concern. “From a New Zealand perspective, what you want is consistent, predictable leadership from America,” Muller stated. “My personal view is that Trump, from a foreign policy perspective, is just too unpredictable.”

The implications of a Trump victory could send ripples through New Zealand’s economy and foreign relations. Muller elaborates, “If we see the big powers enter into a more protectionist, trade-war environment, it’s a disaster for us as an export-oriented economy.”

Unthinkable Tariffs and Their Impact

Muller points to Trump’s recent threats to impose tariffs as high as 2,000% on China, a move that would have ripple effects globally, especially for New Zealand’s trade-dependent economy. “Even if you discount the rhetoric, that is not in New Zealand’s interest,” he explained. “We’ve enjoyed a post-war stability that has benefited New Zealand greatly. A president who spends more time attacking Europe than he does dealing with Putin is not good for us.”

Can Kamala Harris Maintain Momentum?

Despite his reservations about Trump, Muller acknowledges that the race is incredibly tight. When asked to weigh in on the current polling trends, he noted, “If you’re looking at polling, I think Trump will do it. The slight margins for Harris have been eroded in the swing states.”

He posed important questions about voter turnout and ground game strategies for both candidates. “Is Harris’s ground game going to be sufficient to counter what I think is momentum marginally in Trump’s favor?” The concerns he’s raising signal the upheaval that could follow depending on the election outcome.

A Lifelong Passion for American Politics

Muller’s fascination with American politics dates back to his childhood in 1979 when he immersed himself in a U.S. encyclopedia. “I even entertained the idea of becoming U.S. president at one point,” he quipped, “though I quickly realized that was not an option.” Now, co-hosting the podcast What’s the Story, Old Glory with Elizabeth Soal, his passion for U.S. politics remains undiminished.

In recent episodes, the podcast has tackled the evolving narrative around Trump and Harris, featuring guests like Scott Brown, a former senator and Trump appointee as ambassador to New Zealand. These discussions not only provide insider perspectives but also help listeners navigate the intricacies of American electoral dynamics.

Reflecting on His Political Journey

Muller, who previously held the position of leader of the National Party, acknowledges the intensive demands of parliamentary life. “Parliamentary politics is just so all-consuming,” he said. “You give your heart and soul to it, and when you leave, you realize it took its pound of flesh.”

Despite his political pedigree, Muller expresses complete satisfaction with his decision to leave parliament. “Not even the tiniest part of me regrets it,” he said. “That was the right decision for me. I’m thoroughly enjoying my new life and focusing on U.S. politics."

What Lies Ahead for New Zealand?

As Muller prepares for the upcoming election, his insights may prove critical for understanding the potential consequences of the U.S. election on New Zealand. The stakes are high, and the intertwining of domestic and international politics has never been more pronounced.

For New Zealanders, the outcome of the U.S. election is not just about choosing a president; it could fundamentally alter the nation’s diplomatic and economic landscape.

Join the Conversation!

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Image Credit: Todd Muller (Photo: Supplied)

For authoritative perspectives on the U.S. election, consider visiting [The New York Times](https://www.nytimes.com) or [BBC News](https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-54258737) for the latest updates.