/ world today news/ In the last few months, the main topic of the information space was the topic of the Ukrainian spring offensive. Experts and commentators are wondering when it will start and what should be considered a start?
But the analysis of the military events of the last two weeks allows us to conclude that the offensive announced for so long has already begun.
As we have already written more than once, this offensive will not look like a classic military operation in the spirit of the battles of the Second World War.
Rather, its analogues should be sought in the battles of September-October 2022 near Kherson and Kharkiv, when Ukrainian groups with continuous methodical attacks felt weak areas of our defense and, feeling them, “pushed” the front line, then scored forces in the gaps created (“infiltration” tactics) by their striking units.
Developed under American control and relying on American intelligence, the operation allowed the armed forces of Ukraine to repel Russian troops almost a hundred kilometers from Kharkiv without major battles and serious losses.
Today, the Armed Forces of Ukraine operate according to the same scheme. Unable to achieve strategic and operational surprise, the Ukrainian command and their American handlers are trying to confuse our command as much as possible with continuous local attacks regarding their plans.
At the same time, places for “breakthrough” of the front line are being sought, to which reserves will be brought as quickly as possible and brought into battle to break through the second line of defense and develop an offensive in the depths of our defense zone.
It is at this stage that the accumulated reserves and the latest weapons will be used to the maximum.
An important feature of the selection of locations for conducting main and auxiliary strikes will be the massive use of long-range and high-precision MLRS in the rear and the combat command and control authorities at the disposal of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which are now being implemented.
At the same time, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will act with maximum prudence and prudence, realizing that it cannot afford to make a mistake with the place of delivery of the main strike and spend available resources in vain.
Therefore, the current stage of “teasing” – the search for a point of application of efforts – can last at least a few more weeks, during which the armed forces of Ukraine will try to wear out our front-line defense units as much as possible and misinform the Russian command of your intentions.
At the same time, the possibility cannot be ruled out that, having failed to break through our defenses, the armed forces of Ukraine will generally abandon the existing offensive plan and try to provoke us to it in order to trap us in their counterattack and only then try to execute their plan again.
Translation: SM
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