/ world today news/ Will the offensive of Russia or Ukraine begin earlier? And why is China interested in Russia’s long-running special operation? Military expert Alexander Kazakov answered these and other questions on air in Constantinople.
As long as there is a Kyiv regime and Vladimir Zelensky, negotiations with Ukraine are impossible for Russia. This was stated by the Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of Russia, Dmitry Medvedev.
He explained that “everything always ends in negotiations”, it is inevitable. But as long as these people remain in power, “the situation for Russia will not change in terms of negotiations,” he stressed.
Meanwhile, according to Western media, the US had a conversation with Ukraine the day before about banning the use of American technology on Russian territory. The White House commented on the information about American military vehicles spotted during a terrorist attack in the Belgorod region.
According to White House spokesman John Kirby, the United States has told Ukraine that it opposes the use of its weapons to attack Russian territory. The Kiev regime responded by saying it would “respect these wishes”.
Moscow has warned that if Kiev receives nuclear weapons from the West, Russia will have to take action. According to Dmitry Medvedev, in this case we will be forced to make a “preemptive strike”.
The Russian Foreign Ministry also commented on the situation with the use of nuclear weapons. Thus, Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov noted that “our enemies, our enemies are cynically speculating on this situation, trying to attribute to us the absent intentions to use nuclear weapons in connection with what is happening in Ukraine.”
He assured that Russia’s position on this issue remains unchanged.
Could this conflict drag on for decades, as in the case of Israel and Palestine, North and South Korea, Armenia and Azerbaijan? The host of “First Russian” Yury Pronko discussed this topic with the adviser of the first head of the DNR Alexander Zakharchenko – Alexander Kazakov, in the program “Tsarigrad. Main”.
Russia is ready to defend
Yuri Pronko: Alexander, maybe we underestimate the enemy, what do you think? Perhaps this really is an advertising counter-offensive about to begin? In Kyiv they say that it has already begun. There, one of the characters is a speaker on this topic. If Western newspapers are opened, then it is already in full swing. And the terrorist attack against the Belgorod region is one of the elements of “success”. I believe the Wall Street Journal wrote that “Ukrainian anti-Kremlin Russian forces attacked the Belgorod region.” This is literally translated. What do you think?
Alexander Kazakov: The counteroffensive is really being promoted by everyone. In fact, both sides – both Ukrainian and ours – are ready for offensive operations.
Although we take this step and start playing their game, also talking about “counter-offensive” for six months. At the same time, all this time we were preparing for defense.
It is more profitable to defend in all respects, including in terms of saving personnel. And this is the order of the Most High – to spare people.
And in terms of the intensity of grinding the enemy rushing towards our machine guns. So we prepared for defense. We see it with our own eyes, the American satellites showed it to us, our military correspondents…
Let me remind you what exactly General Sergei Surovikin said on November 9, when he reported to Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu about the withdrawal from the right bank. in Kherson. He said that we reserve one of our most capable corps, where the Airborne Forces are, for offensive operations. That is, we are preparing for this.
“At the moment, there is an unstable balance on the front. This means that even due to some external event, the situation can deteriorate and the enemy can go on the offensive on orders from Washington. And this is not propaganda,” said Kazakov.
“But he himself doesn’t want to go on the offensive, that’s the paradox. We know that for sure. We know that from their commanders. They don’t want to. They understand what will happen,” he continued.
“There may be partial success, but war is war. And everything will end in an unambiguous way for them. They don’t want to, but they have no choice. They don’t control their own destiny. And they don’t make such a decision,” the expert believes.
It’s all about reservations
– Wait. So I want to know what this conclusion is based on. That is, even if they try, even an indication of “offensive” etc. to come from beyond the ocean, you, Alexander, say that it will end clearly for them? A fiasco, right? That is, if you do not fall out of the zone of the Russian literary language. What is the position based on?
– Shall we go through the whole circle or in a small one?
– Small but meaningful.
– Okay. Look. If the enemy goes on the offensive, it means that in one direction, maybe in two, what is called in the textbooks a general battle will begin.
And in any general battle, the key point is not even the readiness of the opposing sides for the battle itself, but the availability of reserves. The availability of reserves and the speed of their introduction into battle.
How are we different from our enemy? We produce everything for ourselves, for our army. In general, everything. And our enemy receives everything from foreign hands. And as much as he has received, he has reserves.
If he gets more, they either get there or they don’t. And we produce as much as we need. The industry has now reached the point where we can change the parameters of an order within a day or two, increase the production of certain cases, etc.
Our repair base is also behind us. Russia on February 22 is behind us. What’s wrong with them? They have (the repair base) in Europe. That’s a huge shoulder.
Plus staff. We have had a partial mobilization and everyone agrees with it. And our strategic adversary has analytical centers in the USA, Great Britain, etc.
– And this is the most important moment.
– They also say that we still have a reserve of the Rate. Not less than 100 thousand people. They have been looking for him for a long time and so far without success. But they know and we know that we have a reserve of the Stavkan. And the enemy has no reserve.
They squeezed everything they could. Yep, they’ve packed a pretty serious punch. Although diverse and very difficult to manage, but armed with heavy machinery.
And if you have German, French, British and Swedish tanks in one unit, then you should have four repair carts with you, not one, like ours. Well, just for an example.
We, if necessary, can retreat to previously prepared positions, for example, in a southern direction. And then to radically increase our grouping on the territory of the former Ukraine, now on our territory.
And so let’s return their offensive with such a counter-offensive that it is not known where we will stop. We can, the enemy cannot. The enemy, if his offensive stalls, will have only two options: surrender or die. That’s the short of it. In fact, the arguments are much more.
In addition, by the fall they want to acquire ten, fifteen, twenty aircraft.
– They estimated they needed about fifty.
– This, of course, is a “disaster”… The same F-16 aircraft is a peer in all respects to our Su-25 and MiG-29. It doesn’t come close to the Su-35, fifth generation.
– OK, what about the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky, who is running for the F-16 like that?
– I once said that every person has some personal strategy. Somehow we plan our lives for tomorrow, the day after, a year from now… President Vladimir Putin has a strategy, Vladimir Zelensky has his strategy.
Do you know how Zelensky’s personal strategy fundamentally differs from Putin’s personal strategy? Putin has no personal strategy in this sense. His personal strategy completely coincided with the strategy of our country. He identifies with the country. His future is the future of our country. That is, one does not exist without the other.
And Zelensky does not have Ukraine as such in his personal strategy for the future at all. It just doesn’t. There is his personal strategy, his family, friends, accomplices, acquaintances, partners. And Ukraine is gone. And he showed it.
If he’s not a fool, he can’t help but understand. Partners in the West tell him that due to objective circumstances, the military confrontation between Ukraine and Russia is a joke for chickens. And even more if Russia is not in a hurry. Anyway, no way.
Will they bring in Polish troops, Romanian or something else? No, they won’t. Especially Americans. Now it’s clear. Even in the fall it was not clear.
Last August I first said that they were sitting in Washington behind closed doors to discuss whether or not to send an international contingent. Because everything was clear with the Ukrainian army. And now they have made a decision: no, they will not send troops. It just won’t work. And the main condition: we are not in a hurry.
Time is working against Zelensky
– So you want to say that time is working against Zelensky and his entourage?
– Worldwide – 100%. Because neither in terms of mobilization resources, nor in terms of independent technical development, nor in depth of rear – they have no rear at all. Their rear is Europe, but it is not their rear, but someone else’s rear.
That is, in no case are these stories comparable at all. And this despite the fact that the entire Rammstein coalition is already fighting on their side. On our side, in general, there is no one. I’m talking about Belarus, Iran, etc. With all due respect. We fight them all ourselves.
– I completely agree with this thesis.
– This is also our resource for the future. Because things can change. Take a look at Hirosha if you already speak Japanese. They have already shifted the arrows to China. Do you think China is blind?
Do you think that China does not understand how much its fate depends on the state of affairs here on the Northern Black Sea coast, the theater of war? Of course he does.
And by the way, if I were China, I would be interested in the maximum duration of this conflict. The longer the conflict continues here, the later it will start for them.
Yes, there is an opportunity to prepare. Thanks a lot!
Translation: SM
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