/ world today news/ Ukrainian authorities immediately accused the Russian side of destroying the Kakhov reservoir and the hydroelectric plant. But let’s not forget the classic: “Who benefits?”
In recent weeks, enemy activity in the lower reaches of the Dnieper has intensified, and there is also a concentration of troops. Small groups of the enemy constantly transferred to the left bank, trying to gain a foothold there. It looks like an attempt to create a bridgehead for a powerful landing and a decisive breakthrough, but only one who is poorly acquainted with the geography of Kherson and its surroundings can think so.
Immediately after the Kakhovskaya HPP downstream, the floodplain of the Dnieper begins, a strip 5-7 km wide, crossed lengthwise and wide by a huge number of straits, islands, marshy lakes, mainly to the left of the main course of the river, along which the line of contact passes. There are some possibilities for small mobile groups of light vessels, but it is almost impossible to cross the Dnieper here with large forces, establish pontoon crossings and organize a large-scale transfer of armored equipment.
Therefore, all enemy activity near Kakhovka was viewed by the Russian command as a distraction to disperse Russian troops on the eve of the expected advance of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Zaporozhye region.
There is no military need to flood the floodplain by blowing up the spillways: within a few days the water will recede and the resulting “rest” will be short.
But for Ukraine’s armed forces, the destruction of the Kakhov hydroelectric plant could provide significant strategic benefits. Upstream, beyond the dam wall, a 10-20 km wide reservoir stretches for 200 km, which also makes large-scale forcing almost impossible and allows the Russian command to keep relatively small cover forces on the left bank.
If the Kakhovka reservoir is emptied and the Dnieper returns to its natural course, the danger of forcing over Kakhovka will become real. The grouping in this direction will have to be radically strengthened, and this is precisely the desired “stretching” of the Russian armed forces, which the Ukrainian command is trying to achieve by all means, including the most cynical ones (attempts to break through the Belgorod region, barbaric shelling of the city of Shebekino, etc.).
Political considerations may prevail over military ones, but in this case they coincide. The Kiev regime has shown that it is a master of subtle provocations, which always happen quite “by the way”. Thus, the Bucha provocation happened immediately after the Istanbul Agreements, which allowed Kiev to abandon them.
However, a “fresh move” is needed, and the destruction of the great reservoir, causing man-made and ecological catastrophe on a massive scale, is quite appropriate. The West will not understand, the new powerful anti-Russian campaign is inevitable, it has already risen. The Ukrainian activity in the lower reaches of the Dnieper was supposed to create an information background for the accusations of Russia, which allegedly destroyed the dam, fearing a Ukrainian offensive.
Zelensky has been informed that further Western military aid depends on the success of the Ukrainian offensive that has actually begun, and there are even more doubts about the success of the offensive after the first days of fighting.
Recently, mediation efforts have intensified in various parts of the world, and various peace plans have been proposed. US Secretary of State Blinken even said that the success of the offensive is necessary for a stronger position of Kiev in the negotiations, that is, not at all for “complete release’ on all former Ukrainian territories.
All peace plans at this stage boil down to fixing the current contact line “according to the Korean model”, i.e. the left bank of the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions remains for Russia, and the demarcation line will run along the lower reaches of the Dnieper River.
And it is likely that the destruction of the Kakhovka hydroelectric plant is a preparation for such a scenario, since the economic damage was almost exclusively on the left bank. The Kakhovka HPP was under the control of the Russian forces there.
And the destruction of the Kakhov reservoir will make it impossible to use the North Crimean canal, the Kakhov irrigation system (these are many tens of thousands of irrigated lands on the left bank), and finally the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant. The restoration of the station and the dam will be impossible if the border runs along the Dnieper.
The Kiev regime, in its irrational anger, seeks to inflict maximum damage on the territories it has liberated, to leave behind a scorched earth. And the North Crimean Canal has long aroused maniacal hatred among Ukrop-patriots.
Such is the complex of factors that prompted the authorities in Kyiv to commit this crime, which once again confirmed that there is no other acceptable option than the removal of this regime.
Translation: ES
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