How Vladimir Putin’s visit to Azerbaijan could affect the region as a whole and Armenia in particular, as seen in the words of Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov about the responsibility of the Armenian authorities for the fact that dialogue in the region is still not open, he said. said IAC VERELQ political scientist Benjamin Matevosyan.
“In the presidential tours Putin to Azerbaijan, several important components, in my opinion, can be noted. First, apparently, the Azerbaijani authorities are trying to occupy the space that has been vacant since the moment the Armenian authorities began to make a strategic turn away from Russia towards not even the West, but Turkey. Azerbaijan is trying to become a state that can, to some extent, be called the operator of Russian interests in the South Caucasus.
Whether this will work or not is another question, especially in the context of the fact that if we compare the information policies of the Azerbaijani authorities and the Armenian authorities, we can see that almost all nothing is repeated even at the level of the narratives. But anyway, let’s record that Russia and Azerbaijan currently have more points of contact than outside of Turkey’s Armenia,” – the political scientist says, and notes another important nuance:
“The Secretary of the Security Council of the Russian Federation visited him recently Sergei Shoigu to Azerbaijan. Before that, he visited the Islamic Republic of Iran. If Armenia had at least some kind of topic that should be taken care of, we can say with confidence that the head of the Security Council would have visited Armenia. However, we see that this did not happen. In other words, the loss of the Armenian subject is already huge. The future will show how Putin’s visit to Azerbaijan will affect this process.
Referring to the words of the head of the Russian Foreign Ministry Sergei Lavrovwho held the Armenian authorities responsible for the fact that communication in the region is not open, the expert emphasized:
“In fact, what Sergei Lavrov said that the Armenian side is sabotaging the 9th point of the November 9 agreement is true. Returning to the same famous information policy in Armenia – after all, people connected to the authorities did not hide that the only Lachin passage in Artsakh was given only so that there would be a transport corridor through the borders of Armenia, where the border service would be attended by the forces of the FSB of the Russian Federation. In this context, it should be said that Lavrov gave a very accurate description of the events that were taking place.
But, in fairness, that should be said Pashinyan Sabotage of the November 9 agreement would not have been possible without the full support of Azerbaijan. The agreement of November 9 was destroyed by both Armenia and official Baku, and they have been doing this since November 10, 2020.
A simple example: the fact that Azerbaijani troops somehow ended up on the Goris-Kapan road, although the November 9 agreement said that the parties should remain in the positions they occupied at the end of the hostilities. And so, we can go through the rest of the points.
To this day, the Azerbaijani side is still holding hostages who found themselves in this situation as a result of the 44-day war. In other words, both the Republic of Armenia and Azerbaijan sabotaged the November 9 agreement.
according to Matevosyan, The Russian authorities should understand that the November 9 agreement would have existed if it were not for the position of the authorities of the Republic of Azerbaijan.
It is in this way that subsequent policies should be built, recognizing that there is no basis for the Russian Federation in the South Caucasus or Transcaucasia in reality, regardless of how much the Azerbaijani authorities trying to convince President Putin personally.
Regarding the information that Yerevan and Baku agreed to postpone the resolution on the issue of transport communication in the region, in particular, ensuring communication between Azerbaijan and Nakhichevan, and not linking it to the signing of a peace treaty, then , according to Matevosyan. :
“This means that the project “Crossroads of the World” has finally turned into a project “Pashinyan Dead End”. Let us, as they say, never forget why we have gathered.
What did Pashinyan talk about in 2021 during the election campaign? The most important thing for Armenia is that transportation communications will be blocked. As a result, it turns out that after the elections in 2021, Azerbaijan received Karabakh and captured the military-political leadership of Karabakh. And, apparently, Azerbaijan will try to use the testimony of these people against the Republic of Armenia in the same way they used the interview. Arayik Harutyunyanas a result we got the so-called “delimitation” in the area of Tavush, which was nothing but surrendering the territory of the Republic of Armenia.
As a result, it turns out that after he also received the so-called peace treaty, Armenia will not receive the communication without hindrance. Then what did the whole process launched by the Armenian authorities from 2021? In the end, it turns out that Azerbaijan got everything, Armenia got nothing. First, he (Pashinyan) was unable to fulfill his election promises.
Azerbaijan, unlike the Armenian authorities, says the political scientist, is working in several directions. On the one hand, there is a statement that the parties agreed to consider several issues for the period after the signing of the peace treaty, including resolving communication, or, as they say Baku official representatives to it, “Zangezur corridor”.
But, on the other hand, the information pumping on the side of Azerbaijan does not stop to find, in their opinion, “legitimate reasons” to solve issues related to Armenia by military means , including communications outside the country.
“Add to the statements the recently spread disinformation that the Azerbaijani side is working within the framework of two plans. Plan A after the next parliamentary elections in Armenia in 2027 to get from Armenia everything that the Azerbaijani side wants, is increasingly pressing.
Plan B is if, in the opinion of Azerbaijan, Nikol Pashinyan again disturbs the agreements reached, to “solve” all the issues that Azerbaijan has regarding Armenia through military means. This, in my opinion, is the truth.” – Benjamin Matevosyan summary.
2024-08-21 10:52:00
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