The wind has changed in the USA! Around three months before the 2024 US election, Kamala Harris now appears to be gaining the upper hand in the decisive swing states. However, new polls show that Donald Trump is still in the race if he manages to focus on two important campaign issues.
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The current poll situation in the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump can be found here.
Kamala Harris’ chances of winning increase
Nate Silver, the renowned statistician, election researcher, poker player and founder of the news website FiveThirtyEight, calculates Kamala Harris’ chances of victory at 54 percent in his latest forecast. According to this, she could narrowly win the race with 283 to 255 electoral votes.
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US election: Trump left behind in swing states
This assessment is consistent with new polls from the decisive swing states and battleground states that have now been published by the New York Times. The figures come from the Siena College Research Institute. According to them, Harris is now leading in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan with a cushion of four percentage points each.
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Immigration and the economy: How Trump can turn the tide again
However, current surveys by MU Law Poll show that Donald Trump can still score points with voters on two issues. He is seen as having greater competence on economic issues and immigration/border protection. On the issue of immigration in particular, Trump is far ahead with 52 percent, compared to Harris with 39 percent. Harris, on the other hand, is clearly ahead on the issue of health care (51 to 37 percent).
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The question now is whether Trump can put his issues of border protection and the economy at the center of the election campaign in order to stop Harris from soaring.
