“Dr. Teera” assesses the spread of Covid in Thailand in the next 6-10 weeks. Perhaps it is a time of grace.

Associate Professor Dr. Thira Woratanarat, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, said on Facebook Thira Woratanarat that he was analyzing the revolution in Thailand

Information for the latest week 5-11 August 2024

The number of patients sleeping in the hospital. 519 cases, 4 deaths, 371 pneumonia, and 153 intubations.

Compared to the previous week Hospital admissions decreased by 7.3%, pneumonia decreased by 17%, and intubation decreased by 16.8%.

But the number of deaths increased from 1 to 4.

The number of people with new infections per day is estimated to be at least 3,708-5,149.

Thailand, even though it is now in decline The number of sick people in the hospital has returned to the same level as before Songkran.

However, the number of pneumonia and the number of intubations will take several more weeks.

It is thought that this is in the next 6-10 weeks It may be a grace period if there are no surprises from the virus changes. or other factors Before entering the festival season

It is becoming increasingly clear that COVID-19 behaves differently than the flu, the flu or other respiratory illnesses. without a seasonal break But it can spread throughout the year (year-round), depending on the ability of the virus to move quickly. and according to the dangerous behavior of people in society which is related to various activities/festivals

To predict changes in the COVID-19 virus That is still difficult to do. With current knowledge from monitoring events over the years it has been observed that all epidemics change the position of amino acids 69 and 70 in the outer backbone of the virus. There is a difference between types of viruses that contain this amino acid. and virus strains missing this amino acid position It is a clear variation pattern from the original strain –> Alpha –> Delta –> Omicron BA.1 –> BA.2 –> BA. 5 –> XBB –> JN.1 (BA .2.86.x)

But like comments But, it is not enough to predict changes in the virus in advance or to be accurate enough to prepare for a response.

Therefore, we have come to the conclusion that at this point, during this long period of the COVID-19 outbreak, it is very important to protect yourself during daily life. Especially be aware of symptoms, keep an eye on the people around you who are sick. and avoid close contact with him

Risk depends on our behavior.

Every time In addition to dangerous illness, serious illness, and death He is also at risk of long-term abuse such as Long COVID.

It is best not to get infected or not to get infected again.

Happy mother’s day.