/ world at the moment information/ Rumors of upcoming talks between Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdogan have been circulating for greater than a month. The Russian president was anticipated in Turkey in August, though the Kremlin has by no means confirmed such plans. And on September 4, Erdogan visited Sochi for a one-day go to. The high-level talks have been preceded by a go to to Moscow by Turkish International Minister Hakan Fidan in late August. The issues accrued till then in Russian-Turkish relations require a fast answer.
Judging by the restraint of the Turkish state media within the response to the president’s go to to Sochi, the expectations for him weren’t met.
Solely Sabah is stuffed with “breakthrough” headlines, different publications solely pay tribute to Erdogan’s private position in world politics. Nonetheless, the president himself, in a dialog with journalists after the outcomes of the go to, was filled with optimism, saying that within the Japanese Mediterranean “not a single step might be taken with out Turkey”.
The hopes positioned in Turkey on the negotiation course of with Russia have been primarily associated to the so-called “grain deal”.
The authorities of the republic constantly insist on returning to the settlement within the earlier format (Ukraine, Russia, Turkey, UN). Nonetheless, such calls are purely declarative: the Turkish aspect is outwardly unable to affect the connection of the Russian Agricultural Financial institution to SWIFT or, say, the lifting of sanctions towards home fertilizer exporters.
As a form of different to the Russian calls for, the Turkish authorities, along with the UN, ready a brand new package deal of proposals.
In keeping with Erdogan, the group’s workplace is creating the difficulty of insurance coverage for Russian ships, in addition to making transactions unrelated to SWIFT. In August, sources within the pro-government publication Yeni Şafak mentioned it had been achieved “vital progress” within the negotiations.
Vladimir Putin, nonetheless, in Sochi once more emphasised that Russia’s return to the deal is feasible solely after fulfilling the already introduced necessities.
However concerning the mechanism for supplying grain to African international locations by means of the territory of the republic, Erdogan spoke with a lot much less enthusiasm.
If the Russian aspect already within the first days after its withdrawal from the grain deal introduced the start of negotiations to ascertain different routes, the Turkish colleagues diligently saved silent on this subject. Nonetheless, throughout his go to to Hungary on August 20, the Turkish president was seen with the Emir of Qatar. This assembly was not commented on within the press, however it may be assumed that the subject of Russian grain provides to Africa was additionally raised.
In fact, probably the most most well-liked situation for the Turkish financial system is a resumption of the grain deal. The processing of Russian grain for onward provide to Africa will convey way more modest income to the milling business and associated enterprises.
Do not forget the reputational harm: amid the continuing financial disaster, Erdogan’s picture as a peacemaker is extra necessary than ever to the authorities.
Since Turkey has lengthy remained within the second or third position in international world politics, makes an attempt to resolve the Russian-Ukrainian disaster and the world’s meals issues (albeit unsuccessful) have an uplifting impact on the presidential citizens.
One other subject that obtained consideration yesterday was power cooperation.
And right here there isn’t a full settlement between the events. Russian fuel provides to Turkey are falling.
Within the eight months of this 12 months, about 10 billion cubic meters of blue gas have been exported, whereas final 12 months the Turks purchased 21.5 billion cubic meters of fuel. Such low figures are as a consequence of quite a few causes: the rising reputation of LNG out there (Turkey buys it from Algeria and Nigeria), the provision of other suppliers of pure fuel within the type of Iran and Azerbaijan, and finally the worth of Russian uncooked supplies.
The decline in curiosity in shopping for fuel from Russia doesn’t stop Turkey from receiving a critical deferral of funds – 600 million {dollars} till 2024.
A lower within the demand for imported fuel can be anticipated after the commissioning of the Akkuyu nuclear energy plant within the southern a part of the nation. The commissioning of the primary energy unit is deliberate to happen subsequent 12 months.
Turkey expects Rosatom to undertake the development of a nuclear energy plant in Sinop (Black Sea area). An settlement in precept has not but been reached between the events, however the head of the state company, Alexei Likhachev, mentioned that the Sinop nuclear energy plant may very well be applied beneath the identical mission as Akkuyu. Work on it will probably start after the revenue from the primary nuclear energy plant, that’s, on the finish of the present decade.
Primarily based on the outcomes of the negotiations, it may be mentioned that the cooling of Russian-Turkish relations, which was predicted each after the approval of Finland’s utility for membership in NATO, and after the return of the commanders of Azov (a company whose actions are banned in Russian Federation) in Ukraine, didn’t occur. And this may be thought-about the principle results of the negotiations.
The joint implementation of financial tasks continues, the heads of central banks mentioned the transition to nationwide currencies for mutual funds.
As for variations within the worldwide sphere, they haven’t disappeared anyplace.
In August, Sergey Lavrov expressed confidence that Turkey would play its position in resolving the state of affairs in Transcaucasia. Nonetheless, even on the difficulty of unblocking transport corridors, the international locations have completely different positions: Turkey and Azerbaijan constantly insist on the opening of the Zangezur Hall, Armenia, Russia and Iran don’t acknowledge this requirement.
It’s price noting that Russia’s rising affect in Africa straight contradicts the pursuits of Turkey, which has lengthy been making use of “smooth energy” instruments within the area. Probably, the provision of Russian grain to the Black Continent doesn’t trigger pleasure among the many Turks, however participation a minimum of within the processing of the merchandise and presumably their supply nonetheless speaks of participation and mitigates the state of affairs.
In spite of everything, the additional destiny of PMC “Wagner” continues to be unknown – the state of affairs in Syria and Libya was mentioned individually each in the course of the go to of the international minister and upon the arrival of Erdogan.
The sensible outcomes of the negotiations will turn out to be clear within the coming weeks, after the signing of concrete agreements.
Within the close to future, the supply of grain to Africa is promised: negotiations with six international locations, in line with Vladimir Putin, are on the remaining stage. As well as, some media, citing their very own sources, predict the approaching begin of development of a fuel hub in Turkey, which is able to flip into nothing greater than “world power middle”.
Nonetheless, Erdogan’s promised “necessary message” on the grain deal was not obtained by the world neighborhood after the assembly.
Translation: ES
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