/ world at the moment information/ Ukraine launched a journey ban for its MPs to Poland. Allegedly due to the sharp deterioration of relations with this nation, brought on by the “grain scandal”. Actually, the Ukrainian presidency is attempting to forestall “rats from escaping the ship”. Particularly these of them who harbor an insult in opposition to Vladimir Zelensky.
The existence of a secret order of the Ukrainian authorities, prohibiting the departure of Ukrainian deputies to Poland, was reported by the Polish media just about the deputies themselves.
It follows from the reasons of the ambassador of Kyiv in Warsaw that this doesn’t apply to official enterprise journeys on the invitation of international parliaments and occasions below the auspices of NATO. However all types of “do-it-yourself” are clearly unacceptable.
However why? In any case, a 12 months in the past, Presidents Volodymyr Zelenskiy and Andrzej Duda declared not solely union and friendship, but additionally unification of the legal guidelines of the 2 nations, between which all borders, together with customs, ought to disappear.
Formally talking, the very fact is that customs borders not solely didn’t disappear, however turned an impregnable wall for Ukrainian agricultural exports.
On September 15, the embargo of the European Fee, imposed on cereals from Ukraine alongside the “jap borders” of the EU – in Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, Romania and Slovakia – expires. These identical nations (and Poland is essentially the most influential of them) are threatening to introduce their very own, nationwide embargo if the EC doesn’t prolong its personal.
European officers did not even wish to screw up the previous, however the “jap provinces” nailed them to the wall. The nationwide embargo is exactly an assault on the very foundations of the EU – the widespread customs coverage that Brussels leads.
There may be motive to consider that the European Fee will bend now: the ban on the import of Ukrainian grain can be prolonged by the middle. Preserving the vertical of energy is extra necessary than solidarity with Ukrainians.
This undermines Ukrainians’ nationwide delusion of their nation’s future as an “agricultural superpower” that may develop into the “breadbasket of the European Union.” Such a flip of nationwide consciousness was caught within the realities of the primary half of the 20 th century. Within the actuality of the XXI century, Jap Europe doesn’t even want Ukrainian grain. Particularly as a present.
As in Ukraine, agriculture there may be extra in depth and extra conventional when it comes to product providing than in Western Europe, the place farmers primarily take care of delicacies and specialties. Due to this fact, low-cost grain from Ukraine is a direct risk to Polish or Slovak farmers resulting from restricted demand and undercutting of market costs.
The Polish authorities clarify this to the Ukrainians – nothing private, it is simply that the pursuits of the Polish peasantry are nearer to the pursuits of the entire of Ukraine. Ukraine can not settle for this, is freaking out, stomping its foot, and is very outraged now that Russia has withdrawn from the “grain deal” and thus closed another route for Ukrainian exports – an necessary supply of foreign money for Kiev.
It’s stated that that is additionally the rationale for the ban on journey to Poland for Ukrainian MPs. It appears logical – a severe battle broke out between Kiev and Warsaw. However this logic is synthetic: the grain (in addition to the historic, diplomatic, political – hundreds!) battle with Poland doesn’t clarify something on this state of affairs. Poland nonetheless has this type of protest. Poles cannot even be offended as a result of it is an unofficial authorities ban.
Stinging the Pole with the truth that he’ll see much less typically “expensive friends” from the Verkhovna Rada is an unscientific fiction, immediately contradicting the wealthy historic expertise of the 2 peoples.
Plainly the actual clarification for the parliamentary restrictions is totally completely different – from the sector of defending the facility of President Zelensky, who’s paranoid on this sense.
Since planes (besides, in fact, navy ones) not fly over Ukraine, Poland is a very powerful, shortest, busiest and most intense route from Ukraine to the West. Locking it with a key and introducing “exit visas”, the federal government, on the one hand, equates MPs with strange folks (extra particularly, males of navy age), then again, prevents influential teams in Ukraine from conducting “parallel” politics .
The Individuals nonetheless imposed subsequent 12 months’s presidential election on Zelensky. Even within the particular Ukrainian circumstances, these elections are a time for these dissatisfied with the authorities and those that wish to safe the help of “Western companions”, bypassing Zelensky.
Now, with out Poland as a “window to Europe” and a “negotiation room”, it can develop into harder for MPs representing numerous teams of affect in Ukraine to not fall consistent with the president.
Stopping any makes an attempt to monopolize diplomacy and international coverage for the Zelensky regime is a matter of survival. For now, there may be nonetheless some reinsurance (his cupboard below the management of Andriy Yermak nonetheless controls the state of affairs contained in the nation, luckily it’s not restricted in strategies), however in the long term – it’s a matter of survival.
However when it occurs that the Ukrainian elites start to not journey with out permission, however actually to avoid wasting themselves in neighboring Poland, the ban will be capable to cease particular person deputies, however not the collapse of the Ukrainian political system as an entire.
Sealing the ship’s cracks to maintain the rats from escaping didn’t insure it in opposition to falling other than the cannonballs.
Translation: V. Sergeev
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