In keeping with the “Mediana” company, within the elections GERB will obtain 27.5% of the votes, BSP FOR BULGARIA – 24.2% – 2024-05-21 21:53:21

/View.data/ The analysis was performed within the interval 22-26 February 2021 with 943 individuals (18+ years) by means of a direct standardized interview and is consultant of the grownup inhabitants of the nation.

Primary extracts

• The invention of a vaccine towards the corona virus and the beginning of vaccination in our nation has considerably elevated optimism in Bulgarian society (revived the hope for the normalization of life).

• Nonetheless, this has not considerably affected the scores for the federal government. They proceed to be markedly unfavourable. The common ranking of the federal government (in response to the six-point system) is common – 3.26 (3.22 in December).

• Naturally, dissatisfaction with administration additionally provokes a powerful need for a change in energy. 21% of voters are in favor of constant the administration of GERB (in a single kind or one other). For a brand new administration, with out the participation of GERB, there are 51%.

• “Voices for change”, nonetheless, are extremely dispersed (unconsolidated), whereas supporters of sustaining the established order are carefully united round GERB and extremely motivated to vote. For now, the principle opposition formation (BSP) can’t make the most of the elevated negativity in the direction of the federal government. The middle of attraction for a big a part of the “voices for change” is Slavi Trifonov’s formation, which launches its “change” exterior the present political spectrum.

• In the meanwhile (a month earlier than the elections), GERB is rising the space with its major political opponent and leads by 3.3% over the BSP. For now, solely 4 events can ensure that they’ll cross the 4% barrier to enter the parliament – GERB, BSP, “Ima talik narod” and DPS. 4 extra formations are near the barrier and have actual probabilities to enter the following Nationwide Meeting – Democratic Bulgaria; “Arise! Get out!”; VMRO and the NFSB/Volya coalition. So, the following Parliament may very well be both four-party or eight-party. This can largely depend upon the turnout.

• Thus far, the declared willingness to take part within the elections appears extraordinarily excessive – 61% say that they’ll firmly vote, and 22% are hesitant. Nonetheless, these are attitudes with out considering the affect and improvement of the corona disaster. It’s unimaginable to foretell what a part of these voters will really go to the polls. On the identical time, an enormous half (roughly 513 thousand!) of those identical “onerous voters” declare that they haven’t but made their last selection. Swinging these voters in a single route or one other might shoot any social gathering to the highest or sink the hopes of the others.

• There’s a clear age differentiation within the political attitudes of voters. If younger individuals below the age of 35 voted within the elections, Slavi Trifonov can be the clear winner. In center age (36-55 years), GERD positively dominates; In adults over 55, BSP beats GERD in a ratio of two:1. The query of which voters will go to the polls stays open. The event of the corona disaster will even have an effect right here.

• Rumors that there’s elevated negativity concerning the corona virus vaccination are exaggerated. Certainly, analysis reveals that 40% of adults don’t wish to be vaccinated, nevertheless it needs to be taken into consideration that about 23% of them (about 1.3 million individuals) are certain or have severe suspicions that they’ve already had contact with the corona virus. On this sense, a lot of them depend on pure immunity. On the identical time, anti-vaxxer attitudes are overwhelmingly concentrated in much less educated teams and sure relaxation on easy-to-overcome misconceptions and unique rumours.

• The opening of eating places and bars is usually accepted positively by the vast majority of adults. Naturally, essentially the most excited are the younger, for whom the institutions are a pure heart of their social life, whereas the adults are extremely skeptical on this regard. The event of the corona-crisis, nonetheless, will present whether or not this shall be attributed as a optimistic for the administration or shall be counted as a extreme unfavourable.

optimism – pessimism

„WHAT DO YOU THINK THE COUNTRY EXPECTS IN THE NEXT YEAR (NEXT 12 MONTHS) – IMPROVEMENT, WORSENING, CONTAINING THIS SITUATION, OTHER?’

% from everybody

authorities evaluation

„DOES THE MANAGEMENT OF BOYKO BORISOV’S THIRD GOVERNMENT INSPIRE YOU CONFIDENCE OR RATHER DISAPPOINT YOU?

% from everybody

GOVERNMENT ASSESSMENT OF THE SIX-TABLE SYSTEM

„WHAT IS YOUR SCORE ON THE SIX POINT SYSTEM FOR THE PRESENT GOVERNMENT?

„PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS ARE APPROACHING. WHAT WOULD YOU PERSONALLY LIKE TO HAPPEN TO THEM – GERB TO CONTINUE IN GOVERNMENT OR TO HAVE A NEW GOVERNMENT WITHOUT GERB?”

% from everybody

Electoral attitudes

„AND IF THERE WERE PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS TODAY, NOW, WHO WOULD YOU VOTE FOR?”

% of those that stated they’d vote

*particles with a end result under 1%’.

elective exercise

„WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS APPLIES TO YOU?’

% from everybody

„HAVE YOU ALREADY DECIDED WHO YOU WILL VOTE FOR?”

% from everybody

THE ECONOMIC BLOW OF THE CORONA CRISIS

„have you ever, (your loved ones) been affected by the corona disaster?’

% of all ANSWERED YES

„DO YOU THINK RESTAURANTS/ESTABLISHMENTS SHOULD BE OPENED?’

% from everybody

OVERCOME THE CORONA VIRUS

„HAVE YOU PERSONALLY HAD (GET INFECTED) WITH THE NEW VIRUS (COVID-19)?”

% from everybody

attitudes in the direction of vaccination

„DO YOU PERSONALLY THINK ABOUT GETTING VACCINATED AGAINST THE CORONA VIRUS?’

% from everybody