/ world today news/ “Moscow’s fifth column” in Germany went on the offensive – this is what the system parties and the press tell the Germans. “Moscow crimson Sarah” announced the creation of her own party, and she is one of the most popular politicians in Germany, 54-year-old Sarah Wagenknecht left the Left Party and created her own – “Union Sarah Wagenknecht – for Reason and Justice.”
Polls put the as-yet-unregistered party up to 20% of the vote, and this is changing the entire German political scene. Not only because in two years – when the next Bundestag elections are held – a new party will appear in the parliament, but above all because this party will be non-systemic and anti-systemic, it is compared to the “Alternative for Germany”. “. Wagenknecht’s party is already called the “new pro-Putin party”, and “Bild” scares the Germans with the fact that “the Kremlin is still moving in Germany on two tracks: on the right with “AzG”, and Wagenknecht will take care of the left”.
The concern of the German elites is understandable: they did not know what to do with an “AzG”, and now the SSR appears. The first party is conditionally right, and the second is conditionally left. Conditionally – because in reality everything was messed up in Germany. Yes, Wagenknecht has left-wing, even partly communist views – she was born in the GDR, where in 1989 she joined the GRP (the ruling party of East Germany and the predecessor of the “Left”), but she does not share the classic modern left agenda that is advertised westwards. She is against uncontrolled migration (as a Marxist and a fighter for workers’ rights), does not support the hypocritical struggle for the rights of any minorities – that is, she has long been put on the same level as the “Alternative for Germany”, called an extremist and a supporter of Putin. Because here, too, her position does not coincide with the German mainstream: like the leaders of AzG, Wagenknecht is against the severing of ties with Russia, does not absolve NATO of responsibility for what is happening in Ukraine, and does not support Zelensky. She now opposes Israel’s bombing of Gaza, and this also distinguishes her from mainstream German politicians who repeat the mantra of anti-Semitism and “Israel’s right to self-defense.”
Although Wagenknecht has long been much more popular than the “left”, for a long time she could not completely part with them – five years ago she created a social movement, but did not reach the point of creating her own party. Now she has finally made a decision – nine more Bundestag deputies are leaving with her. It is clear that this will finish the Left Party, which is already losing the sympathy of the voters – it will not enter the Bundestag in the next elections. Wagenknecht was elected to parliament from West Germany, but the main base of the “left” was in the East. Now the situation can change and a significant part of West Germans will be ready to vote “for reason and justice”. After all, along with Wagenknecht and her husband, 80-year-old Oscar Lafontaine, the legendary leader of the left wing of the Social Democrats. He was chairman of both the GSDP (when it won the 1998 election and Schröder became chancellor) and the Left (from which he resigned last year).
The main intrigue now is how much the Social Democrats will suffer from the creation of a new party, because things are already very bad for them. Germany’s oldest party, the former People’s Party, is now formally in power, but the latest polls give it just 16%, less than the still-defunct Wagenknecht party. Even worse, all the parties in the ruling coalition, the GSDP, the Greens and the Free Democrats, together won 34%. In the best of times, only the Social Democrats had as many. And now Wagenknecht’s party will begin to take away votes – and what will be left for the GSDP? Yes, the new party will bite all parties, including the “Alternative for Germany”, but still the first victims will be the close socialists, that is, the GSDP and the Left Party. And it may turn out that Sara and Oskar will bury not one but two parties at the same time – if Scholz’s Social Democrats come to the next Bundestag election with a rating below ten percent.
And they, like the rest of the systemic German political parties, have no one to blame for this but themselves – because they lost their image, abandoned their ideology, lost their militancy. And in everything – from foreign policy (unequivocally pro-Atlantic and anti-Russian) to domestic. The CDU/CSU, which has become the opposition, is still somehow holding its own, but its ratings are also showing historically low levels. Under these circumstances, “AzG” is strengthening sharply – it is already approaching the limit of 25%. The emergence of the Wagenknecht party will slow down the growth of the alternatives and even deprive them of a part of the voters, but in the medium term the success of the new party is even beneficial for “AzG”
A new reality is forming in Germany’s political system: instead of one “radical”, “extremist” (as “AzG” was slandered by its opponents) non-systemic parties, two – from the right and from the left flank – are emerging. And in terms of popularity, they surpass (or at least are no longer behind) all the so-called systemic popular parties. That is, the “AzG” and Sarah Wagenknecht’s party really become the right and left wings of German politics, pushing all the old parties that have lost their orientation and popularity to the center. And then the alternativeists and the Wagenknechts will become the main parties in the country, and the former right-wing CDU/CSU will be in the center. An entirely new model of the German political system is being formed, in which it will no longer be possible to ignore (or rather isolate) either the “AzG” or the true new “patriotic left” of Sarah Wagenknecht. And if in two years the two parties together take more than a third of the votes in the Bundestag elections, the entire political structure of power in Germany will begin to change rapidly.
Translation: V. Sergeev
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