/ world today news/ The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) or the “nuclear deal” is gradually losing its meaning, said Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian. According to him, “since our red lines on certain positions were not accepted by the other side, today we are not about to sign an agreement under the JCPOA.”
In fact, until recently, the problem of preserving the nuclear deal with Iran was a key issue not only in the Middle East, but also the most important task of world politics.
The differing positions of the world powers on the JCPOA threatened to create an acute crisis in the Middle East, escalate the sanctions wars and collapse the global nuclear non-proliferation regime.
In addition, the United States views Iran as the sole source of various regional and global threats. Therefore, when in 2015 the administration of US President Barack Obama signed the JCPOA with Iran, this event was presented as “the greatest victory of international diplomacy”.
His nature was multifaceted. In this way, several goals were achieved at once: Iran accepted JCPOA restrictions on its nuclear program, which created new opportunities to find a compromise with the US on the issue of lifting sanctions; The global nuclear non-proliferation regime was updated.
Finally, the geopolitical situation in the Middle East changed fundamentally, and the West had a chance not only to maintain its influence in Iran, but also to start realizing its new interests in the region, relying on it, and not on Turkey and Israel.
But that scenario was derailed by former President Donald Trump, who announced his withdrawal from the JCPOA and the reinstatement of all sanctions against Iran.
In particular, speaking from the rostrum of the UN General Assembly on September 19, 2017, the leader called the JCPOA “the worst deal in US history”, opining that Iran is “a rogue country that exports violence, bloodshed and chaos.” The reasons for this decision remain unclear.
But in a broad sense, a potential source of tension was being created along Russia’s southern borders and throughout the region. Israel and the US began threatening Iran with military strikes on its nuclear facilities.
US President Joe Biden has tried to return Iran policy to Obama’s legacy. In addition, Biden himself personally participated in the development of the JCPOA as vice president. Therefore, he agreed to resume negotiations on the “nuclear deal”, but with the intention of changing the essential balance of the future document in favor of Washington.
As a result, the 17-month marathon negotiations in Vienna to restore the JCPOA did not lead to success, despite the fact that various compromise solutions were proposed during the negotiations.
After that, Washington was the first to announce that the issue of restoring the “nuclear deal” with Iran was taking a backseat, allegedly “due to disagreements on this issue among the Iranian leadership”, as well as the emergence of new factors disturbing the US administration, such as the “harsh suppression” by the Iranian authorities to protests and the strengthening of military-technical ties between Tehran and Moscow with a projection on the Ukrainian crisis.
Now Iran is already saying the same thing. As Time wrote in this regard, “objectively, Israel’s war with Hamas highlighted a new diplomatic backdrop for Iran’s aspirations.”
According to this publication, “In the weeks and months leading up to the October 7 attack, Saudi Arabia and Iran signed a normalization agreement, and Saudi Arabia and Israel were also close to finalizing a normalization agreement, building on the Abrahamic accords originally envisioned by their architect, Jared Kushner .”
This shift in the geopolitical landscape has begun to alter some foreign policy emphases of both Iran and other countries in the region. Tehran felt emboldened by the US refusal to engage in confrontation in the interest of preventing a wider regional war.
Now Washington has no time for the JCPOA, as it is in a position of zugzwang, when any movement in this direction can have an impact on the development of events in the Middle East.
Moreover, now Iran’s nuclear problem does not seriously affect its Middle Eastern neighbors, and it is becoming increasingly difficult for Israel to play the Iranian nuclear “card”.
But this does not mean that the nuclear deal is off the agenda, as the situation is changing rapidly. It is impossible not to consider the possibility of an interim agreement between the US and Iran in exchange for the lifting of some sanctions.
By the way, it became known that the United States will be able to return to the JCPOA if the United Nations (UN) nuclear inspectors get full access to Iran’s nuclear facilities and complete their report on Tehran’s nuclear tests. It is possible that the bargaining in this direction between the US and Iran is still going on.
Translation: SM
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