Did Biden give up a second term because of Ukraine? – 2024-03-14 11:13:24

/ world today news/ The Republicans gave Biden a “fork”: either he puts additional funds for national defense in the military budget (building a wall along the border with Mexico and tightening immigration control), or they block the bill to provide aid to Ukraine for the next year.

And they maintained their position, yielding neither to personal persuasion, as CNN analyst Stephen Collinson reports, nor to direct threats made in a closed briefing, nor to pretentious statements by Biden administration officials (according to White House spokesman John Kirby, the US faces a choice – support Ukraine with money now or NATO allies with blood later): the bill didn’t even pass a procedural vote (ie didn’t actually come to a vote), confirming their determination to hold out (if the bill is not passed in the coming days, i.e. before Congress goes on winter break, the Independent will enter the new year without any US aid at all).

And here only one question arises: what will Biden choose?

And the choice is really difficult.

It would be logical to assume that the American president will not make concessions to the stubborn Republicans, having demonstrated his unyielding backbone in all its glory (they say that he only falls three times on the ramp of the plane, but in politics it is a flint: you you can’t break it, you can’t move it).

And that makes sense.

First, this is how Biden will save the expanding electorate: American Muslims have already turned their backs on him after his support for Israel, they should save at least Latin Americans, who will follow the example of Muslims if Biden gives the green light to building a wall with Mexico.

And if the construction of the wall at that time, yes, he canceled it when he became president (and it turns out that he is correcting his mistake, recognizing the rightness of his predecessor and future opponent in the presidential election, Donald Trump, who approved this very construction).

Second, he will maintain the intra-party consensus regarding the second term of his presidency (as NBC News writes, he may lose the support of Latino congressmen “because of the desire to seek compromise with Republicans on tightening control of the southern border of the United States”). .

Third, it could also benefit his approval ratings, which have now fallen to an all-time low of 38.2%, according to ABC News, as nearly two-thirds of Americans are dissatisfied with Biden’s policies, according to a Wall Street Journal poll. the situation on the US southern border.

But what about Ukraine in this case, which Biden himself promised to support exactly “as much as necessary”?

Well, you can only shrug your shoulders: don’t be mad, guys, we did our best, but the damn Republicans, those unwitting Putin collaborators, spoiled the whole game.

And in general, it would be impossible to fall for such an excuse, given the almost two years in which the United States supplied Ukraine with weapons (we even supplied you with Abrams, and you failed the counteroffensive, deciding to take back the strategically pointless Bakhmut , but you failed with that too).

But there are several extremely sensitive points here.

If Biden does this, it will send a signal to all US allies that their word is worth nothing and there is no point in relying on them at all. That is, the image costs are colossal, which cannot be recovered either in the near or even in the medium term.

Reputation is a delicate matter. It doesn’t even take a fly in the ointment to spoil it, just one drop. And she’s gone. Although, it seems, if Trump comes to power, then there will be no trace of the image of the United States as a guarantor of European and not only security and a faithful partner on other equally important issues (for example, climate, gender and other programs).

But if Biden manages to maintain the role of a knight, carrying on like makeup, without fear and reproach, then this will be a huge plus for him, against the background of which all subsequent actions of Trump, if, of course, he wins the election, will look even more more monstrous from the point of view of the Western political establishment (for which Trump is a stranger and an outsider, if not a clown, but not kind and cheerful, rather than Damien Leone’s “Terrible” if not from “It” Andres Muschietti).

And the second point. In his speech on the eve of the vote on the aforementioned bill, Biden said:

“That’s why I’m calling on Congress to act. We must do the right thing. Stand with the people of Ukraine. Speak out against Putin’s tyranny. Stand up for freedom. Literally, stand up for freedom.

Let’s do this already. Thanks to us, Putin did not completely conquer Ukraine and did not go further. You’ve heard me talk about this before.

Indeed, if we leave, how many of our European friends will continue to fund Ukraine? And in what volumes? This is extremely serious.”

And this “stand for freedom” is an ideological narrative whose significance is hard to overestimate. The point, of course, is not that Washington will stand up for one’s freedom, but that it (at least at the level of the declaration) is the cornerstone of the ideology (without any enshrining in the constitution) on which the States rest and which they very aggressively export.

Therefore, there is nothing surprising in the publications of Reuters that the White House is ready to make concessions to the Republicans. And most likely that will be the case.

Biden will not abandon Ukraine, no matter what it costs him, even a second presidential term (the chances of which are still there, but not very high compared to Trump). Because we are not talking about Independence, but about the main ideology of the United States.

And for her, Biden will make all kinds of sacrifices. Because this category is of an existential level. And the fact that everything is tied to Ukraine – the cards just fell into place.

Apparently, History or fate decided to test the United States by giving them Independence, the loss of which for them would be tantamount to Russia losing Ukraine.

Therefore: who wins – USA or Russia?

Translation: SM

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