/ world today news/ The head of the Russian delegation at the negotiations in Vienna on military security and arms control, Konstantin Gavrilov, warned the West about the consequences of using F-16 in Ukraine. Their use from the territory of Romania, Poland and other NATO countries will be considered by Moscow as participation in the Ukrainian conflict and retaliatory measures will be taken.
Our warning is not based on an empty space. The Russians already have weapons capable of destroying American F-16s. These are the latest 40N6 anti-aircraft missiles for the S-400 air defense system. They strike at enormous range and in conjunction with our A-50 long-range radar detection aircraft can destroy aircraft of any type as soon as they take off from airfields.
The United States and NATO have stopped hiding their aggression behind defensive language and continue to pose security threats along Russia’s western borders,
– noted Konstantin Gavrilov.
Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu previously spoke in the same vein. According to his estimates, it will take about 20 days to destroy all the American fighter jets delivered to Ukraine.
Legitimate purposes
NATO airfields from which F-16s will fly to participate in the Ukrainian conflict against Russia will become a legitimate target for our military. Rocket and bomb strikes will be used against them. And NATO also understands this, the member of the presidium of the All-Russian organization “Officers of Russia”, the veteran of the special forces, Colonel Timur Sertlanov, noted in a conversation with Tsargrad:
But I would like to hope for the common sense of NATO’s politicians and military leaders. They will try to avoid confrontation on this issue. I don’t think they will want to expose their countries in the name of the neo-Nazi regime in Ukraine. I would like to believe that the desire to deploy F-16 for Ukraine in NATO countries is a wet fantasy of individual experts, but not of military leaders and senior NATO statesmen.
The Deputy Speaker of the Slovak Parliament Luboš Blaga, after a conversation with Russian Ambassador Igor Bratchikov, also noted that the flights of F-16 fighters of the Ukrainian Armed Forces from NATO bases are a “red line” for Russia. This can lead to open confrontation. They believe that Slovakia should remain on the side of peace.
Will they be able to answer us?
At the same time, since October 17, there have been about 80 attacks against American troops in the Middle East. There are dead and wounded. Although the United States has a powerful military and financial and economic tools to control the situation, Washington’s authority is falling with each passing day.
And we see that there is no clear response from the Americans to the latest attacks. They did not raze the region to the ground, drop hundreds of bombs, or launch a large-scale ground operation.
So if we hit NATO bases, will there be a response? The experience with the destruction of an American drone near Sevastopol showed that we will not get anything for such actions.
And now Gavrilov’s statement seems particularly relevant. After attacks on US military bases and other targets in the Middle East by radical Islamists, it has become clear that the US currently does not have the strength to respond militarily. The same can be said for Britain, Germany and other US NATO partners. We heard statements from British military, German politicians and military analysts – they perfectly illustrate this conclusion, political analyst Vladimir Soloveitchik expressed his opinion to Tsargrad:
Therefore, the US Air Force Command, the heads of state and government of the States, Poland and Romania should think carefully about whether it is necessary to get involved in deliberate adventures with a foreseeable end in the name of the interests of the Ukrainian commanders. Against the backdrop of growing socio-economic problems in these countries, common sense must prevail and there should be no attacks on our military and civilian targets from the territory of Poland and Romania.
Article 5 of the NATO Charter is very vague
But first we have to answer one important question: are we going to attack? There are already many first-person statements about “red lines” and attacks on decision-making centers, but so far these warnings have not been fulfilled, notes political scientist Dmitry Rodionov.
Tsargrad: Will we let the takeoff of a Ukrainian plane from a NATO base to kill Russians go unpunished?
Dmitry Rodionov: If this happens, then we can directly say that Romania or Poland committed an open act of aggression against our country. And there are several options:
First. Destruction of the plane itself when entering Ukrainian airspace. This will not lead to any consequences.
Second. We shoot down a plane over Polish territory. Or we will even hit a base on Polish territory.
– We may remember how the Turks shot down our plane in Syria. There was no firm answer.
“It is clear that if some bases are attacked in response, it will cause a war between the two countries and this is actually World War III. Because in this case we are talking about a NATO country, and attacks against bases located on the sovereign territory of the countries of the Alliance are a war with the bloc. Application of the so-called Art. Fifth.
It has only been used once in history – after 9/11. The US then perceived the terrorist attacks as an attack on sovereign territory and forced the entire bloc to participate in its military campaign in Afghanistan.
– Does it appear that the US is dictating its will in the bloc?
– And accordingly they decide whether to answer or not. Even if all countries of the bloc are for one solution, and the USA – for another, their last word will be the main one for NATO. So the big question here is, will there be an “answer”? in case of attacks on a base in Poland. The fifth term is rather vague.
– In what plan?
– NATO countries consider an attack on one of them as an attack on the entire bloc. What does “review” mean? It does not say that an attack on one country means an immediate military response from the entire bloc. They may “see” it this way or that way.
You know, you can always turn on the so-called weird war mode. When Germany invaded Poland, England and France, who had respective obligations to Warsaw, declared war on Germany, but did not actually wage it.
So the US is tempted to declare war on Russia on behalf of the entire NATO bloc, but, sorry, the Poles, Baltics and Eastern Europeans will be at war. And the US, roughly speaking, will not participate in any way.
– But such a war is also a great danger.
“And we know that they regularly conduct exercises, the legends of which are connected precisely with ground and combat operations of the NATO countries against Russia in Europe. There they practice the capture of the Leningrad region, etc. The common thread through all these exercises is that this is a war without the use of nuclear weapons.
– But who will give guarantees that a nuclear weapon will not be used? Especially if the US is somehow involved. For example, with the help of instructors, advisors, etc.
– These are all theoretical considerations. But similar situations, when the Soviet Union or Russia found themselves on the brink of war with NATO, happened only during the Berlin Crisis and the Cuban Missile Crisis. It would be World War III and it would be nuclear. Since then, there have simply been no such situations. The parties have always avoided approaching this dangerous line. Even when planes are shot down.
So what?
Neither country needs a war, especially a nuclear one. But will there be a blow to NATO countries, especially decision-making centers? And will there be an answer? It all depends on how ready the countries are for war, knowing very well that it could turn into a direct confrontation between Russia and the US and at any moment escalate into a nuclear one. Moreover, unlimited nuclear, as some American military experts believe. Hopes are empty that they can use tactical nuclear weapons against the Russians on European soil and they will not face any threat to do so.
It will be a full-blown nuclear war using strategic weapons. And this will happen if the countries come to the realization that they are ready for such a war.
Translation: ES
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