The question “against Mitsotakis, who?”to which representatives of the Center Left were searching in vain for an answer weeks ago, has a clear poll answer that is strangely ignored.
It is by far the “no one”, who, however persistently appearing in the surveys for the last five years, begins to shape a political condition and probably the political and electoral behavior of a large portion of citizens.
The moment Kyriakos Mitsotakis it appears with a permanent and chaotic lead, gathering percentages of suitability which in some surveys exceed those of the ND, in second place and with a distance more than double from the rest of the leaders, the gap of an alternative solution is consolidated.
The results of this condition are visible to the naked eye in everyday politics, but according to researchers and political analysts, they are likely to have hidden side effects. When these will appear and how they will affect political correlations is one of the demands of the period.
The first objective finding, according to the same sources, is that a significant part of the poll samples is not satisfied with the current Prime Minister either, and in the fifth year of his term, he has started to distance himself.
National ballot strategy
The crucial element under these circumstances is the origin of this set. And in this light, it is reported as a remarkable finding that approximately one fifth of the followers of “Nobody” place themselves in the area of Kyriakos Mitsotakis’ audience par excellence, i.e. in the area of the Center-Right, Center-Left and traditional Right.
The specific opinion poll finding is evaluated in Megaros Maximos and in Piraeus and is considered as a decisive parameter for the relaxed vote or even the protest in the upcoming European elections.
For this reason, it has been decided to change the initial strategic planning, according to which the ND was preparing to come with an air of superiority and indisputable supremacy to the June election.
It has now been realized that this tactic carries many risks of unpleasant surprises. In this sense, Kyriakos Mitsotakis has already publicly declared “forget the 41%” and he and his staff are expected to enter the electoral battle with a national ballot strategy. They discount some more or less significant losses in terms of national election percentages, but the goal is set to reassert political sovereignty and, to a very large extent, to prevent a large abstention, which is estimated to exceed 50 % and thus create a condition of informal political delegitimization and, certainly, incomplete political representation.
The question under these circumstances, and as much Stefanos Kasselakis and Nikos Androulakis do not show any prime minister potentialis if and when the political “Odysseus” will be revealed who will give identity to the “nobody” or, as long as this element is still missing, what will be the electoral and in a broader sense political behavior of the part of society which expressed by this choice.
The battle of the cafe
According to estimates and analysis of the period, at the current juncture the answer “None” includes a significant portion of those disillusioned with the government (for whatever reason) and probably the largest proportion of those who do not intend to go to the polls.
On a second level, there are even voters of the ND and Kyriakos Mitsotakis in the 2019 and 2023 elections, who simply no longer have any desire or reason to demonstrate in favor of the Prime Minister, in the way they did in the recent past. This may hide, analysts say, evidence that Kyriakos Mitsotakis may be gradually losing what was previously described as “the battle of the coffee shop”, even if his critics are not turning to another political leader.
Moreover, the strong presence of this nihilistic political attitude is partly interpreted as a result of the centralized governance model of the last five years. In this light, Kyriakos Mitsotakis receives negative criticism in all areas where the government presents failures and failures, in a manner corresponding to the positive opinions, which, however, still prevail.
Disappointment and indifference
The further analysis of the specific poll finding leads to qualitative assessments, which lead to other conclusions. As a significant part of society has no expectations, has become disillusioned with politics and power and has no confidence in either the government’s reformist proclamations or alternative options.
In this sense, the secrets that “Nobody” can hide are considered crucial for the political period leading up to the European elections and, above all, after them. Analyzing this data, those who answer the polls in this way are considered unlikely, barring a shocking contingency, to turn to Kyriakos Mitsotakis in a subsequent election contest, given that the elimination of SYRIZA has nullified the existential threat of the previous contests, while PaSoK is weakened to offer solutions.
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