Nearly three years after the CCP’s policy of allowing a couple to have three children was introduced, the number of births in China has declined instead of increasing. The education sector has been directly affected, with kindergartens bearing the brunt. Among them, the number of children in preschool education has decreased for three consecutive years. A wave of kindergarten closures has occurred in many parts of China. The Beijing authorities are helpless. Li Yuanhua, a scholar in Australia, said: China’s population structure is imbalanced and its population is aging seriously. This is simply a disaster. One is that the savings that the elderly contributed to society in the past have been misappropriated by the CCP; the other is that China has also lost the economic growth brought about by the demographic dividend.
The 2023 National Economic and Social Development Statistical Bulletin released by the National Bureau of Statistics of the Communist Party of China on February 29 shows that there are 40.93 million children in preschool education.
Previous data shows that in 2022, there will be 46.275 million children in preschool education across the country. The number of children in preschool education in 2023 will decrease by 5.345 million compared with the previous year, a decrease of 11.55%. The first decline in the number of children in kindergarten occurred in 2021. That year, there were 48.052 million children in kindergarten, a decrease of 131,000 compared with the previous year, and a decrease of 1.777 million in 2022 compared with the previous year.
According to China Business News, a wave of kindergarten closures has occurred in many places since last year, especially in rural areas. On the one hand, the decline in the birth rate has led to a decrease in the number of kindergarten students, and on the other hand, it is because the population is agglomerating from villages and small towns to large and medium-sized cities.
The Chinese Communist Party implemented the one-child family planning policy for three to forty years in the late 1970s. It was not until 2011 that the policy gradually changed to allow two children. The two-child policy subsequently triggered a small peak in births. The number of births exceeded 17 million in both 2016 and 2017, especially reaching 18.83 million in 2016.
But in 2018, the second-child effect weakened. The number of births that year was 15.23 million, 14.65 million in 2019, and 12 million in 2020.
In 2021, the CCP even launched a policy that allows a couple to have three children. But the birth rate is decreasing instead of increasing. Public information shows: China’s birth population in 2021 will be 10.62 million, and the birth rate will drop to 7.52‰. , China’s birth population in 2022 is only 9.56 million, which is the lowest number since records began in 1949, and the birth rate is only 6.77‰. The number of births in 2023 will be 9.02 million, reaching a new low. China’s birth rate has been declining for seven consecutive years.
Li Yuanhua, a scholar in Macao, told Voice of Hope: “The current social trend is not to get married or have children. It is very difficult to have one child even if you are married. Although you have allowed two or three children, more people choose infertility. .The population is decreasing rapidly. If kindergartens have no students, they will close down. This is an inevitable trend. The main reason for not wanting to have children is the high cost of living. Adults feel that they cannot survive, and they are even less willing to give birth to children. After giving birth, you will suffer with him. And now everyone has seen that after giving birth to a child, there is no guarantee for you. In the past, it was said: giving birth to a child to support the elderly, but now it is not enough to talk about providing for the elderly. Now it is equivalent to giving birth to a child to be a slave. Some people feel that their living conditions are very poor. Many people, including middle-class people, hope that their children will have greater development, so they have to invest more money. He feels that when investment and output are measured, one is true. It’s because he can’t raise a child, or he’s dissatisfied with his life. He has no hope. He doesn’t feel that if he invests a lot in his child, his life will change in the future through the child. This is irreversible. This trend makes him unwilling to continue having children.”
China is aging much earlier than other major economies. The changes in the declining birthrate and aging population may hinder economic growth and have become a hidden concern for the Chinese government, but the Beijing authorities are helpless.
Li Yuanhua said: China’s birth rate peaked in the 1950s and 1960s. Now these people have entered old age and can no longer work. China is rapidly entering an aging society. In the past, China relied on demographic dividend to develop its economy, but now there is basically no new labor force. This is simply a disaster. “The demographic structure of the entire society is completely imbalanced, and the social problems caused by it are huge. To put it simply, the savings that the elderly contributed to society were squandered or misappropriated by the Communist Party, and the government did not have the most basic Guarantee funds are there to ensure that there is no productive labor force now. Moreover, in the early days of China, many labor-intensive or cheap labor forces relied on this to develop the export-oriented economy. Now all of these no longer exist, which is tantamount to double : One is the imbalance of the aging structure, and the other is that the pillars of economic growth in the past are gone, which is equivalent to being broken. But it (the CCP) is still trying to make a fool of itself, because after all, there is still an inertia for economic development. , that is to say, it doesn’t die all at once, but slowly. So it thinks that ‘it can’t die yet’, and it is still struggling to its death.”
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2024-03-04 09:41:52
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