/ world today news/ An official ceremony was held in Berlin for the founding of a new party, Sarah Wagenknecht’s Union for Reason and Justice, a force that will finally change the political landscape of Germany. Most Germans are already very tired of the current one. The other day, farmers blocked the exit of the ferry that Deputy Prime Minister Robert Habek was returning from vacation with. They wanted to speak to him, but the Green leader invited them to get on, and the protesters demanded that he get off with them. The vice-chancellor’s security was against it, several farmers tried to get on board, so the conversation did not take place, and the prosecutor’s office began an investigation of those who insisted on communicating with Habek.
Farmers’ protests that began in Germany will be joined tomorrow by a rail strike, but their economic demands are only the tip of the iceberg of Germany’s problems. The main one is dissatisfaction with the federal government and the ruling coalition. The rating of the three ruling parties has been falling for a long time and has fallen to the level of a third of the voters, and Chancellor Olaf Scholz has become the most unpopular head of government in German history. In just two years of his leadership, Germans are completely disillusioned with Angela Merkel’s uncharismatic and unemotional successor. She has been in power for 16 years, and Scholz is increasingly unlikely to remain in office until next fall’s Bundestag elections. And not because there will be early elections (although this option is also not excluded), but because of a conscientious resignation.
This could happen for two reasons: the collapse of the ruling coalition (from which the Free Democrats want to withdraw, risking not getting into the future Bundestag) or a change of chancellor to save the coalition and its main party – the GSDP (the rating of the party falls to 15%, half that of the CDU/CSU led by Friedrich Merz). The German press is already talking about the second option with the possible replacement of Scholz, and the topic is also supported by public opinion polls.
According to the latter, almost two-thirds of Germans (64%) are in favor of Scholz handing over the chancellorship to Defense Minister Boris Pistorius. Although Pistorius has only been at the federal level for a year, he has been among the most popular politicians in the country for several years – and certainly the most popular among the Social Democrats. It is by no means certain that once he becomes chancellor, Pistorius will be able to lead the GSDP (more precisely, the ruling coalition) to victory in the 2025 elections, but his appointment will at least temporarily boost the party’s ratings. And by leaving Scholz at the head of the government, the GSDP risks simultaneously in two directions: the collapse of the government coalition (with early elections) and defeat in the elections (whether regular or early). Therefore, there are more and more arguments in favor of replacing Scholz with Pistorius – the intrigue is when exactly this will happen.
They will not risk changing the chancellor in an election year – it is too late. There is not much time this year either: in early June there are elections for the European Parliament, and in September – for local parliaments in three East German states. If the ruling coalition parties lose both the pan-European (very likely) and regional elections (certainly), it will be a blow to the already weakened coalition, which is now only really united by fear of the future. That is, the coalition will simply fall apart, and no change of chancellor will help. It turns out that in an amicable way, Scholz should be replaced by Pistorius right now – in the next few months. But it is not certain that the German political elite is ready for this.
Although the Social Democrats and the Greens fear the collapse of the coalition and the CDU/CSU returning to power in the next election, they fear even more the beginning of a change in the political landscape that will gain momentum this year. Because to the anti-system “Alternative for Germany”, which is consolidating at over 20%, is added the party of Sarah Wagenknecht – apparently left-wing, but critical of migration policy, multiculturalism and Atlanticism. With two popular outside parties (and the Wagenknecht party will get the support of at least 15% of the voters), the current German political system simply cannot stand and will fall into disarray.
But before that, he will try to continue the suicidal policy of blocking the “clusters of anger”, that is, isolating at all levels not only the “AzG”, but also Wagenknecht’s party. What will come of it? Nothing good or sustainable, but we will see an attempt to form a “grand coalition”, that is, to unite the CDU/CSU with the GSDP and possibly with the “Greens”. In words, this will be done to save Germany from radical extremists (and those who “get Putin”), but in reality it will be a last ditch effort to save the already dying party. Whether this will happen this year or whether the systemic parties will postpone the combination until next autumn’s elections is of no fundamental importance. More importantly, Germany is entering a period of heightened political turbulence, a major storm – and almost simultaneously with the two Anglo-Saxon powers holding elections this year with a very turbulent change of power. That is, three key Western countries are approaching the most serious tests of a political system that no longer needs a cosmetic, but a major overhaul. However, the elites are unable to agree on its parameters, nor to preserve the already broken order. Naturally, all this is useful to us in Russia.
Translation: V. Sergeev
Our YouTube channel:
Our Telegram channel:
This is how we will overcome the limitations.
Share on your profiles, with friends, in groups and on pages.
#leaves #Scholz #decide #resign
