Home » World » Jerusalem Post: Here is the future of Gaza, Netanyahu’s strategic gambit revealed – 2024-02-13 02:11:50

Jerusalem Post: Here is the future of Gaza, Netanyahu’s strategic gambit revealed – 2024-02-13 02:11:50

/ world today news/ The first stage involves the creation of a full Israeli military government in Gaza to oversee humanitarian aid and take responsibility for the civilian population during a “transitional period”.

Simultaneously, in the second stage, an international Arab coalition will be formed, including Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Morocco, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and others.

This coalition should be part of a broader regional normalization agreement supporting the creation of a “new Palestinian Authority.”

Officials neither affiliated with Hamas nor directly linked to Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas’ (Abu Mazen) bodyguards will inherit Gaza’s rule from Israel, ending the military administration.

Israel will retain the right to conduct security operations in Gaza, mirroring its operations in the West Bank, when operational needs arise to counter terrorism or terrorist infrastructures.

The next phase, dependent on the stabilization of Gaza and the success of the new entity (the “new Palestinian Authority”), involves extensive reforms in Judea and Samaria regarding the functionality of the Palestinian Authority, educational content and terror management.

A potential future of a Palestinian state

If this stage goes smoothly within a predetermined period of two to four years, Israel will recognize a delineated Palestinian state within the territories of the Palestinian Authority and consider transferring additional lands that do not require settlement to that state.

This secret plan, concocted in Israel by what is called a “group of businessmen” here, was also shared with American officials. Among these businessmen, several are closely related to Prime Minister Netanyahu, with one being particularly close.

Representing Netanyahu’s trial balloon, this initiative is in line with the US-led comprehensive Middle East settlement effort covering Gaza, the Palestinian Authority and Saudi Arabia.

Although Netanyahu is not directly involved in these discussions (delegating to his trusted advisor Ron Dermer), he actively forwards and discusses these ideas, always able to deny direct involvement by attributing it to “businessmen”.

It is important to note that this plan is part of Israel’s broader “day after” strategy, along with several other initiatives.

Coordination by Major General is in progress. Rasan Alian, the coordinator of government activities in the territories, along with Tzahal and the Shin Bet (Israel Security Agency), are each developing their respective plans.

This approach is typical of Netanyahu’s method: deploying multiple envoys for parallel missions while remaining noncommittal himself. The businessmen’s scheme is the main plan Netanyahu is looking at, but from a “safe distance” typical of his style.

For example, at the beginning of the last decade, Netanyahu secretly engaged in protracted negotiations with Abu Mazen through the “London Channel,” brokered by his then-confidant, lawyer Yitzhak Molcho, and Abu Mazen’s personal representative, Hussein Agha. Netanyahu confirmed to President Obama that he was conducting this runway with his consent, but kept a “safe distance”.

This approach was later integrated into the negotiations led by US Secretary of State John Kerry with Israel and the Palestinian Authority, which culminated in a detailed US proposal for a Palestinian state – a proposal to which Israel has agreed, while Abu Mazen has yet to respond .

The question remains: Can Netanyahu set his sights on a historic move to end the Gaza conflict and pave the way for a future Palestinian state along with a landmark peace deal with Saudi Arabia?

The odds seem against it, given Netanyahu’s history of abandoning such initiatives before they come to fruition.

However, it is important to remember that Netanyahu is aware that his time is limited. His current legacy is marred by the October 7 massacre, an unprecedented disaster since the founding of the state.

A move toward an accord with Saudi Arabia and progress on the Palestinian front could change the narrative he leaves behind, albeit in troubled times. The decision is his.

Translation: SM

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