The researcher drew attention to the fact that the war with Russia in the south of Ukraine has turned into a frozen war, so a change in strategy is needed. Shrader called to recall that the Russian army, when it entered Ukraine, suffered huge losses and was quickly pushed back from Kyiv, which is one of Zaluzhny’s successes. After a certain defeat, there were also changes in the command structure in the Russian military forces and the Russians started using missiles. Instead of trying to capture the capital and replace the government, the Russians shifted their focus to southeastern Ukraine, where the frontline is currently frozen.
Shrader believes that the aim of the Ukrainian political leadership is to change the strategy to deal with the situation in the south of Ukraine. He admits that this is precisely why the command structure and priorities that the new commander of the Ukrainian forces has come up with have been changed. “Zaluzhny has also admitted this himself in the article “Economist”, that is, that the war has reached the level of the First World War, that everything is happening in the trenches and nothing is moving forward. Perhaps he himself has said publicly that these changes in the military leadership of Ukraine must take place.” emphasized the researcher.
In Shrader’s view, there is no rebellion or mutiny among the Ukrainian military and political elite. He emphasized that Zaluzhny’s success cannot be denied. They are not denied by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, for example, he invited Zaluzhny to join Sirsky’s team in an advisory capacity, which the former commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian army refused. Zaluzhny previously stated that a new strategy, changes in the way Ukrainian military forces are organized, counterattack and “expulsion” of the enemy from Ukrainian territory are needed.
Asked if Sirsky will be able to develop a strong strategy, the LAI researcher stressed that the strategy itself cannot be strong, the military forces and the capabilities of the Ukrainian army are strong, which they have already proven, but the strategy could be an effective way to organize Ukrainian attacks, e.g. , striking at strategic points to break Russian resistance, allowing Ukrainian military forces to advance. According to Shrader, if Sirsky succeeds in this, he will gain enormous credibility in Ukraine, greater than Zaluzhny had. In addition, it will be easier for Zelenskiy to ask for military support to Ukraine in that case.
2024-02-10 18:06:00
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