Bola.net – Scenario for the Indonesian National Team to qualify for the last 16 of the 2023 Asian Cup. Is a draw against the Japanese National Team enough to qualify?
The Indonesian national team will face a life and death match in Group D of the 2023 Asian Cup. The Indonesian national team will face the Japanese national team in the final match.
Both Japan and Indonesia cannot guarantee that they will qualify for the round of 16. So both teams are equally targeting victory in this match.
These two teams can no longer be a group. So they can only qualify for the next round through the runner up and best third place posts.
So what is the scenario for the Indonesian National Team to qualify for the round of 16? Check out the review below.
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Third Place Tiebreaker
Justin Hubner’s expression in the Vietnam vs Indonesia match on matchday 2 of Group D of the 2023 Asian Cup at Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium, Friday (19/01/2024) evening WIB. (c) AP Photo/Hussein Sayed
Before we discuss the scenario for qualifying for the Indonesian National Team, we need to discuss the tiebreaker or factors determining the top three rankings.
As is known, of the six places in the three group phases, only the four best teams can qualify for the round of 16. Determining who is in the top three is determined from the following four aspects.
1. Poin
2. Goal difference
3. Number of goals scored
4. Discipline points
5. Take a Vote
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Best 3rd place standings for the 2023 Asian Cup
Currently there are two teams that are certain to qualify from the best third place route. They are Palestine and Syria.
Now there are only two remaining tickets being contested by three groups, namely groups D, E and F.
The following is the current ranking of the 3rd best.
2023 Asian Cup best third place standings (c) Ist
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First Scenario: Indonesia Wins
The Indonesian national team celebrates Asnawi Mangkualam’s goal against Vietnam, Friday (19/1/2024) (c) Doc. PSSI
Now, let’s discuss the first scenario for the Indonesian National Team to qualify. What happens if Indonesia wins over Japan?
If Indonesia wins over Japan, the Indonesian national team will win six points. Meanwhile, the Japanese national team still won three points.
Indonesia will automatically become runner up and automatically qualify for the round of 16.
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Second Scenario: Indonesia Draws
Rafael Struick fights for the ball with Natiq Naji in the Indonesia vs Iraq match in Group D of the 2023 Asian Cup at Ahmed bin Ali Stadium, Monday (15/01/2024) evening WIB. (c) AP Photo/Hussein Sayed
The second scenario is that the Indonesian national team draws against the Japanese national team. What are Indonesia’s chances of qualifying for the next round?
If this scenario occurs, the Indonesian National Team will finish in third place in Group D. Indonesia can qualify for the round of 16 as long as one of Bahrain or Oman slips.
Scenario A: Bahrain Win/Draw AND Oman draw or lose
Scenario B: Oman Wins and Bahrain Loses
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Third Scenario: Indonesia Loses
The Indonesian national team sang the national anthem Indonesia Raya before the 2023 Asian Cup match versus Vietnam, Friday (19/1/2024). (c) AP Photo/Hussein Sayed
The final scenario is if the Indonesian National Team loses to Japan in the final match. Mathematically, can the Garuda Squad qualify?
The answer is yes, but the key is in Oman. Oman will have to draw or lose in the final match no matter what the result of the Bahrain national team is.
If Oman draws, their points will only be 2 points, while if Indonesia loses, Indonesia’s points will still be 3. So Indonesia can qualify as fourth best third place.
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Conclusion
Shin Tae-yong while leading the Indonesian National Team (c) PSSI training session
The Indonesian national team still has an open opportunity to qualify for the round of 16. If Indonesia WIN against Japan, the Garuda squad will automatically qualify for the round of 16 as runners up in Group D.
If the Indonesian National Team draws against Japan, then the Indonesian National Team can qualify as the best third place if one of Bahrain or Oman loses in the last match. If Oman and Bahrain both win, then Indonesia will be eliminated.
If the Indonesian national team loses to Japan, then the only way for the Indonesian national team to qualify for the round of 16 is for Oman not to win against Kyrgyzstan.
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2023 Asian Cup Group D standings
Preliminary standings for the 2023 Asian Cup Group D (c) AFC
2024-01-23 18:32:00
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