Trump’s Victory in First Primary Election Sparks Domestic and International Concerns Ahead of 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

Trump’s victory in the first primary election adds worries both inside and outside the United States 2024-01-21 00:00 The preliminary battle for the U.S. presidential election has begun. The Republican Party held its first primary election last week. It was an opening shot, with a record-breaking victory over the opponent, and the possibility of representing the Republican Party in the presidential race has increased sharply. Trump’s return to the spotlight is deepening the anxiety in the United States and Western countries. Therefore, Trump’s far-right populism has become the mainstream trend of thought in the Republican Party, and is likely to deepen the political and social divisions in the United States with the election. Allies Canada, Belgium and Lithuania have expressed concerns about Trump. The US presidential election has become a major risk in international politics this year.
In the Republican primary in Iowa, Trump overwhelmingly crushed his opponents, winning 51% of the vote, leaving behind Florida Governor DeSantis’ 21% and former Ambassador to the United Nations Haley’s 19%, beating his opponent by 30%. percentage points, setting a record for the largest margin in the state’s primary election, proving that Trump’s support among Republican voters is unmatched.
Republican leaders do not welcome Trump’s almost invincible victory. This is because Trump has too strong opinions and is unwilling to obey the instructions of the Republican establishment. Moreover, Trump can unite the radicals in the party to establish a new mountain and attack The internal order of the party, such as the overthrow of the party’s former House Speaker McCarthy, has made the party bosses hope that DeSantis or Haley, who are easier to control, will run for president.
DeSantis and Haley in life-and-death battle
If the Republican establishment wants to prevent Trump from qualifying for the primary election, in addition to hoping that a series of lawsuits in the future will damage Trump’s reputation, the only way is to speed up the integration of DeSantis and Haley’s supporters so that they can concentrate their efforts to challenge Trump. Trump. Therefore, the New Hampshire primary held by the party this week is regarded as a life-and-death battle between DeSantis and Haley. The loser will face the pressure of losing the support of donors and being persuaded by Republican bosses to withdraw. Whether Trump, DeSantis or Haley become the Republican presidential candidates, they all show that Trump advocates anti-immigration, anti-abortion, loose gun control, questioning climate warming, anti-globalization and other populist policies. It has become the biggest consensus among the Republican Party because both DeSantis and Haley adhere to Trumpism and are positioned as better able to implement Trump’s policies than Trump because they do not have Trump’s official affairs and scandals and are younger. Have energy.
Therefore, it can be expected that even if Trump is not elected, as long as a Republican becomes president at the end of the year, he will make major moves to overturn President Biden’s immigration, climate and other policies, which will inevitably intensify the antagonism between Democratic and Republican supporters. The American media is even more worried that if Trump loses the election, he will inevitably question election fraud, and his supporters may violently deny the election results, repeating the congressional riots three years ago, which will damage the reputation of American democracy and social stability.
Trump’s strong performance in the primaries showed that his return to the presidency was no longer a matter of air, forcing the world to face up to the impact. Compared with Biden’s repeated attempts to contain China, Trump is bound to push for Cold War-style all-round suppression of China, making the Sino-US struggle more superficial and intense. However, China has not yet expressed concern about Trump, but U.S. allies have. Concerns have been raised.
U.S. allies worry about Trump coming to power again
Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau, who is adjacent to the United States, was the first to complain, saying that if Trump is president again, life will become difficult for Canada and U.S.-Canada relations will regress; Belgian Prime Minister De Croo warned that if Trump wins the White House again, Europe will We must be prepared to be “independent”; Lithuanian Foreign Minister Landsbergis is worried that the United States may withdraw its troops from Europe, which will become a nightmare for the Baltic countries.
Trump’s victory in the first primary election has heightened concerns in the American society and internationally. However, it is not bad news for Biden, because polls show that if Biden faces Trump in the presidential election, his popularity will drop. Support is 48%, trailing Trump’s 50%. However, if the opponent is DeSantis, Biden’s support is still 48%, while DeSantis has 51%. If the opponent is Haley, Biden falls behind. The margin is even greater, with his approval rating at only 45% and Haley at 53%. Therefore, because Haley and DeSantis can consolidate Republican supporters without having all kinds of scandals like Trump, they can win over middle-of-the-road voters and pose a greater threat to Biden’s re-election.
The U.S. presidential election will only be held in November, but as the possibility of Trump regaining the presidency becomes more and more real, American society and even the world must plan preventive measures against this risk.
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2024-01-20 16:00:00