At the 54th Annual Meeting of the World Economic Forum held in Davos, Switzerland from January 15th to 19th, the topic of artificial intelligence (AI) was “hot”, stimulating discussions among elites from all walks of life.
European Commission President von der Leyen said that the global competition in AI has begun, and first movers will be rewarded. Altman, the “father of ChatGPT” and CEO of OpenAI, said that the future development of artificial intelligence depends on energy breakthroughs such as nuclear fusion.
In contrast, the voice of Bill Gates, the veteran of the IT industry and co-founder of Microsoft, appears bolder. He predicted that AI will change everyone’s life in the next five years.
Do less and get more?
Bill Gates has never concealed his confidence and expectations for the infinite potential of AI. As he predicted for 2024 late last year – thanks to more AI innovation, 2024 will be a “turning point.”
At this annual meeting in Davos, he, as always, laid out an exciting future AI world in front of people.
Bill Gates said that in the next five years, AI will greatly improve productivity and make everyone’s life easier.
According to him, AI will drive drastic changes in the productivity of the entire labor market, and the upcoming productivity advancements “will be amazing for the world.”
He said he found that AI can indeed significantly improve work efficiency. For example, with the help of AI, programmers’ work efficiency can be increased by 40% to 50%.
“This means programming can be done faster, with higher quality and more optimized products. This will greatly increase the productivity of white-collar workers.”
In addition, since “much new hardware” is not required, it is extremely convenient for people to access AI through a mobile phone or computer connected to the Internet.
“The world will become a richer place where you can work less and have more.”
Bill Gates did not forget to encourage and support ChatGPT, which was successfully invested and nurtured by Microsoft.
He said that the emergence of ChatGPT is a milestone and marks a huge progress in AI technology.
“Before its appearance, AI could only recognize images and languages, but did not have the ability to read and write. However, ChatGPT and other similar products can for the first time allow AI to help you read and excerpt complex documents, find information for you, and help you Rewrite documents…” Gates said that AI will have a profound impact on the way all white-collar workers, including doctors and teachers, work.
More unemployment and inequality?
Compared with Bill Gates’ AI optimism, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has a more complex view of AI, and would rather say that it is more worrying than happy.
According to the latest research from the IMF, artificial intelligence will affect approximately 40% of jobs worldwide. Moreover, jobs with higher skill requirements will be more affected by artificial intelligence.
IMF President Georgieva also pointed out that artificial intelligence may also affect the distribution of income and wealth within countries. In most cases, AI is likely to exacerbate overall inequality, and policymakers must proactively address it.
The IMF’s concerns are not without resonance. Dr. Srinivas Mukamara, artificial intelligence researcher and chief product officer at Invanchi Software Technologies, feels the same way. He is more concerned about the inequality caused by AI than improving productivity.
In his view, although AI is expected to boost the GDP of various countries, it will also widen the gap between skilled and unskilled workers and countries, leading to serious inequality. He believes that the artificial intelligence revolution will cause more serious unemployment problems than previous technological revolutions.
In addition, since the launch of ChatGPT in November 2022, the number of counterfeiting and fraud cases driven by AI technology has also increased significantly in more than a year.
This year, the “2024 Global Risks Report” released by the World Economic Forum pointed out that false and misleading information, supported by cutting-edge artificial intelligence technology, is the primary direct risk facing the global economy.
Rely on AI to manage AI well?
Faced with many concerns and doubts, how does Bill Gates view the potential risks and challenges of AI?
He also realized that AI is a double-edged sword and talked about AI governance issues. “That means the bad guys will be more productive,” Bill Gates said. “You have to make sure that the best AI technology is in the hands of the good guys.”
However, compared to the potential “side effects” of AI, Bill Gates values AI’s “positive energy” more – greatly promoting productivity.
He admitted that how to ensure that AI is in the hands of good people is indeed a big challenge, but we cannot ignore the fact that AI can greatly promote productivity. “Some people think that the development of AI should be slowed down. This can of course be discussed, but the development of AI must still be encouraged in the medical and education fields.”
At the same time, Bill Gates seems convinced that only by developing AI can the risks inherent in AI be solved.
He said that the application range of AI is very wide, such as it can be used to carry out cyber attacks or create biological and chemical weapons, but so far, every technology invented by mankind has not lost control, even if it is as dangerous as nuclear weapons. Therefore, the key is how to set up AI development and guidelines to minimize negative impacts.
“If we want AI to be in the hands of good people and better able to resist cyberattacks and detect fake news, we must move forward at full speed and develop AI.”
According to Bill Gates, AI is also a powerful tool to solve socioeconomic inequality, create more educational opportunities, and reduce global inequality for future generations.
For example, he said that there is a serious shortage of teachers and doctors in Africa. If AI technology is used to provide AI doctors or AI teachers to these regions, the gap with other regions in the world may be narrowed.
Bill Gates emphasized that history has shown that every new technology brings fear, but it also brings new opportunities. “Just like when agricultural productivity was greatly improved in the early 20th century, people asked, ‘Hey, what else can people do?’ In fact, a lot of new things and new types of work came into being, and our subsequent lives are better than the era when everyone was farming. Much more.” Bill Gates said, believing that in the near future, AI will bring similar changes and make people’s lives better. (Liberation Daily’s original title: Can developing AI solve the risks inherent in AI?)
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2024-01-20 23:08:00
