Our Bochum – Werder Bremen sports betting tip for the Bundesliga game on January 14th, 2024 is: As a result of the 1:3 friendly defeat against Braunschweig, the alarm bells are ringing in Bremen: Just don’t start the second half of the season with a 1:7 defeat! In our betting tip today we expect a difficult game for the green-whites.
The people of Bremen usually travel to the Vonovia Ruhrstadion with a smile on their faces. SVW has been unbeaten in the Bochum Stadium for nine guest games (W6, D3). The series of five wins in a row against VfL is at least as pleasing for Bremen. However, there is no euphoria for Ole Werner, because Werder lost the test against Braunschweig 1:3 and, alongside Mainz, is the only winless away team in the Bundesliga.
Our betting tip today is: “Bochum over 1.5 goals” with a rate of 1.87 at Betano.
That’s why we’re betting on “Bochum over 1.5 goals” for Bochum vs Werder Bremen:
- Bochum scored over 1.5 goals in 43 percent of this year’s home games.
- Werder scored the fewest away points in the Bundesliga (2) and conceded over 1.5 goals in 71 percent of their away appearances.
- VfL has scored a goal in each of their last 13 Bundesliga home games. Only Bayern (64) and Leverkusen (16) currently have longer series.
Bochum vs Werder Bremen odds analysis:
VfL Bochum have only won one of the last 20 competitive games against SVW (D4, L15) and are still considered favorites with odds of up to 2.20. How is that possible?
The venue is crucial. Werder has a negative goal difference (-8) and only two points from seven away games – the Green-Whites’ weakest away record in 46 years! Under these circumstances, we consider betting odds of 3.10 and 3.20 to be an appropriate assessment. If you prefer the SVW despite this return, you should definitely play a free bet.
(Odds are current at the time of publication and are subject to change.)
Bochum vs Werder Bremen prediction: Typical SVW defense
In the history of SV Werder Bremen, hardly any team was known for their strong defense. This year Ole Werner’s team is no exception. Bremen have conceded 1.9 goals per matchday so far.
At home (15 goals), Marvin Ducksch and his comrades can often avoid defeat with their own goals. Away, however, they only managed eight goals in seven appearances.
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This means that, purely mathematically, it is hardly possible to compensate for the average 2.3 goals conceded per guest appearance. Instead, the Green-Whites lost five of their seven away games (0.29 points per away game) and conceded over 1.5 goals in 71 percent of their games outside the Weserstadion.
Since last year, match days outside of the home venue have rarely been successful. Werder have only won one of their last 15 Bundesliga away games, conceding at least one goal in each.
Bochum – Werder Bremen Statistics & Balance Sheet:
- Last 5 games Bochum: 2:0 Vitesse (H), 2:1 Groningen (H), 0:4 Leverkusen (A), 3:0 Union Berlin (H), 1:3 Hoffenheim (A).
- Last 5 games Werder Bremen: 1:3 Braunschweig (A), 1:1 RB Leipzig (H), 2:2 Gladbach (A), 2:0 Augsburg (H), 0:2 VfB Stuttgart (A).
- Last 5 games Bochum vs. Werder Bremen: 0:3 (A), 0:2 (H), 2:3 (A), 1:4 (H), 2:3 (A).
On top of that, the Bochum offensive put fear into the competition in the last home games. VfL have scored three times in each of their last two home games and have scored in each of their last 13 Bundesliga home games. Only Bayern (64) and Leverkusen (16) currently have a longer streak.
The current form of the home team is just as relevant. Bochum celebrated two home wins in a row at the end of the year. Furthermore, Thomas Letsch’s team surprised with over 1.5 goals in 43 percent of the home games.
Furthermore, VfL has been one of the best starters from the winter break in the recent past. Bochum won its first Bundesliga game after the winter break in each of the last five years.
If Thomas Letsch’s players continue this series, there are fantastic odds to play. Betano, for example, gives odds of 2.15 for a home win for Bochum. You can find the same quota in the Betano app.
Our Bochum – Werder Bremen tip: Bochum over 1.5 goals
Werder didn’t keep a clean slate in the last 15 Bundesliga away games and also didn’t make a good defensive impression in the dress rehearsal against Eintracht Braunschweig (1:3). Bochum, on the other hand, scored over 1.5 goals in both test matches (Groningen, Vitesse) and looked ready to go.
Our Bochum Werder Bremen sports betting tip is: “Bochum over 1.5 goals” with odds of 1.87 at Betano.
Bet on Bochum vs Werder Bremen now at bookmaker Betano!
2024-01-13 14:27:14
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