“China will eventually be reunified” was proposed during Xi’s visit to San Francisco last year and has been repeated many times in recent months. It is a powerful reminder to opponents that the coercion strategy that the United States relied on in the past to stabilize the status quo in the Taiwan Strait has failed. Unless the United States seriously considers stepping into the ring to challenge, it can be said that there is no option left.
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At the beginning of 2024, American think tanks were the first to sound the gong. Grieco, a researcher at the Stimson Center, a Washington think tank, suggested that the Biden administration should first focus on arming Taiwan to turn it into a “porcupine” that is difficult for the People’s Liberation Army to touch. . “Taiwan’s defense spending is still negligible and is in the wrong direction, such as continuing to pursue the expensive and sophisticated F-16 fighter jet, which is unlikely to play a big role in a conflict across the Taiwan Strait.” In other words, the Taiwan military is the obvious choice for the People’s Liberation Army.
American think tanks don’t seem to understand that the Taiwanese support the DPP’s “Taiwan independence” or the Kuomintang’s “pro-American and mainland” policies. The underlying logic is to remain “unchanged” forever. The ideal solution is to spend money every year to buy U.S. arms sales, and the United States is responsible. Breaking down the numbers, if the two sides of the Taiwan Strait remain unchanged, Taiwanese businessmen will continue to invest in the mainland and enjoy more preferential treatment. A few pro-mainland politicians from the private sector will “return home” for the holidays to make peace, and that’s it. This is the formula for “Taiwan’s prosperity and stability” that has been hidden for many years.
Hsieh Da-wen, who studies Taiwan’s elections, told Voice of America: “What the vast majority of Taiwan’s voters, more than 90% of them, are thinking about is not that I want reunification, so who should I vote for? It’s impossible. What he is thinking about. It will be closer to: Will my vote today increase my risk of being reunified or annexed (annexation)?” Taiwan doesn’t even want reunification. If you think about it from another angle, do you think it should be changed to want Taiwan? Young people want to go to the front line to defend the United States’ strategic interests in the Asia-Pacific. Are Taiwanese willing to do it? Don’t be so naive that you even believe in the “democracy” and “freedom” values mentioned by Lai Ching-te and Tsai Ing-wen. You also need to believe that all Taiwanese people believe in it. Believe that Taiwanese people are willing to see a scene that turns into a war between Russia and Ukraine and a conflict between Palestine and Israel. No matter what. In fact, buying a few F-16 fighter jets is a certificate of “accepting protection”, so don’t think too much about it.
The United States has its own difficulties, and the United States is not afraid to be honest with everyone today. Due to the successive gray swan-style large-scale military conflicts from 2022 to 2023, and the crisis in the Red Sea, the United States’ prestige has been repeatedly frustrated, and its military credibility has been compromised. Descend, who dares to believe you today? What’s more, the US opponent is China, the strongest.
The think tank said: “Manila has clarified that it will not allow the United States to use these sites for offensive operations in the event of conflict with China over Taiwan. The United States has strengthened and deepened relations with allies and partners in the region, but countries still have concerns about the use of U.S.-China relations. Be cautious about choosing sides in the competition. Take Vietnam as an example: Hanoi improved its relations with the United States, but a few months later agreed to join China’s “community of destiny.”” Southeast Asia has become the weakest link in the U.S. Indo-Pacific strategy. The United States cannot find an agent to stand up to China here. What about North Asia? Japan and South Korea first alarmed North Korea when they joined forces, and Russia was behind it. If you open this Pandora’s box, the United States is not safe either. It’s no wonder that the United States’ two closest English-speaking relatives in Asia and the Pacific, Australia and New Zealand, have publicly changed their attitudes and do not deny their relationship with the United States. There is an alliance, but they emphasize that they are just “far apart relatives.”
The most positive guarantee for “protecting Taiwan” is that the United States comes to fight for “Taiwan independence.” Pay close attention to when the U.S. aircraft carrier group in the Middle East will turn to the Asia-Pacific, and see when the U.S. abandons Zelensky and asks Putin for peace. The U.S. must concentrate all its power to challenge China. Otherwise, the U.S. will only continue to “talk harshly, but in fact rely on “Go away” Cold War soft power confrontation, but this is also a war, especially a financial war. Before the cards are played, who is standing in the front row? Hong Kong is the same, you know!
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2024-01-04 11:25:58
