On September 30, 2023, police and armed police on Nanjing Road in Shanghai were controlling pedestrians on the street. (VCG/VCG via Getty Images)
[TheEpochTimesDecember192023](Interview and report by Epoch Times reporters Ning Haizhong and Luo Ya) In 2023, which is about to pass, the situation in China is undercurrent. What kind of black swan will fly out of China in 2024? Experts believe that Xi Jinping’s “accident” may be the number one “black swan” next year.
Black swan theory refers to an event that is extremely unlikely to occur but actually occurs. At the end of the year and the beginning of each year, people usually make deductions about this.
The changes are due to the collapse of the Chinese Communist Party, popular coups, coups, mutinies, and external changes that have yet to be resolved.
Feng Chongyi, associate professor at the University of Technology, Sydney, told The Epoch Times on December 18 that what major events will happen in China in 2024 is God’s will and is difficult to predict, but public opinion and political conditions can be analyzed. He believes that changes in China depend on when the Communist Party will fall.
Feng Chongyi said that he had said in the past that China was going to change. The mutual reactions from popular uprisings, mutinies and coups would become a resonance state to leverage the red country. As the economic crisis leads to a social crisis, the people can join forces to protest, which is the beginning of the civil uprising.
However, he found that although Chinese society is currently full of complaints against Xi Jinping and people are very painful about the economic decline and decline, the people have not been able to form organized protests.
“Rebels who wanted to change the world did not do such a thing. (Last year) the White Paper Movement instead regarded being unorganized and leaderless as its advantages. In this way, economic difficulties and pain could not be transformed into a social movement. This kind of resistance would be formed without organization. Without scale, leaders cannot be produced, so the popular uprising cannot succeed.”
“The economy only provides a background, and the changes in people’s hearts and minds provide the social stage and the historical stage. Heroes act, but for someone to actually perform the play, organizations and people are needed.”
Dramatic changes within the CCP have always been a point of observation. In 2023, Xi Jinping dealt with many top officials of the Rocket Force without warning, as well as Foreign Minister Qin Gang and Defense Minister Li Shangfu, but the reasons were not made public and are still confusing.
Feng Chongyi said that internal strife in the CCP has been going on for years. The CCP has been inseparable from political purges since its founding. “It is constantly engaged in political purges, because the absolute loyalty it requires is all pretend, and there is no real trust between them. The cruel methods of palace politics will not stop for a day.”
Regarding coups and mutinies, there have been various rumors and analyzes in the past few years. Feng Chongyi said that in fact, the entire upper echelon of the CCP is very useless. No one has ever given it a try, and no one has made the determination to break the boat. As a result, people like Xi Jinping have frequently succeeded. , able to establish personal dictatorship. Although the CCP is currently surrounded by crises and beset by internal and external difficulties, Xi Jinping still uses force to maintain stability and maintain power.
“Where do you think God’s will is? God has to do things, and I don’t know who will do it now. Those who have strength will protect themselves and live a useless life. It is really unpredictable where Xiao Qiang will be caused.”
Feng Chongyi said, “History has given this responsibility and this opportunity to these people. These people can make contributions and leave their names forever, but they have no interest and dare not take risks. To do extraordinary things, you need extraordinary people.” “
The leader of the Communist Party of China has always been afraid of external factors causing color revolutions, fearing that so-called “foreign hostile forces” would speak out and take action against the CCP, and the role of the United States in the CCP regime is regarded as key. Feng Chongyi believes that although the Biden administration has done many practical things to respond to the challenges of the CCP, including building “high walls” and fighting information war, high technology, and trade wars with the CCP, as long as the United States declares that it does not seek to change the CCP regime, it will It’s just a negative response.
“It used to be peaceful evolution, and it had a goal, to evolve this regime. Now, neither Biden, Blinken, nor other officials have pointed out that (the United States and China) are two systems like Pompeo did. The competition has the flavor of life-and-death. Now it does not challenge or change the (Chinese Communist Party) regime. It is a concept of coexistence and win-win, which is equivalent to fighting a protracted war. The focus is on competition rather than confrontation.”
Expert: The number one “black swan” in 2024 is the death of Xi Jinping
Feng Chongyi emphasized that the biggest variable for the CCP now is actually when Xi Jinping dies. “If there is going to be a black swan event in China (in 2024), it will be when Xi Jinping dies of illness. After Xi Jinping dies, China will see changes, which many people are looking forward to.”
Kim Jong-un, the leader of North Korea, the little brother of the Chinese Communist Party, has frequently made appearances with his daughter Kim Joo-ae recently. At a cadre lecture held in November to celebrate the successful launch of a military reconnaissance satellite, Kim Joo-ae was called “North Korea’s rising female general.” This has also triggered speculation that Kim Jong-un is planning a successor.
Feng Chongyi said that many people believe that Kim Jong-un must have realized that there was something abnormal about his body and that he might die soon, so he did such a thing. There is also something wrong with Xi Jinping’s body. This is his biggest secret and deserves observation.
“He (Xi) needs to know that he will die soon and there will be some personnel arrangements in 2024, but we haven’t seen him make such arrangements for his funeral arrangements yet.”
He said that overseas, the pro-democracy movement has begun to make public preparations, “just like what Wei Jingsheng, Wang Dan, and Wang Juntao are doing now, they hold a ‘national conference’ to discuss China’s future.”
Feng Chongyi added on the 19th that when Xi Jinping dies, the Communist Party will be finished at the same time. Once Xi Jinping suddenly becomes ill and unable to see things, no one under him can hold the position. “No one can replace Xi Jinping, so the entire Communist Party will When the tree falls and the hozens scatter, they will collapse and disintegrate.”
Dr. Lin Song, a senior Australian media person, also told The Epoch Times on December 19 that many people have recently been discussing whether Xi Jinping will suddenly die suddenly, and it can be seen that this is where public opinion lies. He believes that the abilities of the senior officials close to Xi Jinping are very limited. If Xi Jinping dies suddenly, no one will have the ability to seize power or maintain power.
“They are all incompetent people who got up by listening to Xi Jinping’s words. If Xi Jinping dies suddenly, no one will have the ability to control the political arena. But this is a good start for the future of China and the Chinese people. Dictatorship and autocracy Only when it falls can China have hope.”
Editor in charge: Li Renhe#
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2023-12-19 15:50:00
