The dollar declines in limited transactions with expectations that interest rates will reach their peak

The dollar fell on Friday as investors bet that US interest rates had peaked, while the yen rose after core consumer prices grew in Japan, reinforcing expectations that the Bank of Japan may soon roll back monetary stimulus..

With US markets closed yesterday, Thursday, due to the Thanksgiving holiday, and a shorter trading session held today on the occasion of Black Friday, currencies are trading in a limited range, as liquidity is expected to remain weak..

The dollar index, which measures the performance of the US currency compared to six currencies, fell 0.077% to 103.69 points, remaining close to the lowest level in two and a half months at 103.17, which it touched earlier in the week..

During the month, the index fell by 2.8 percent and was on track to record the weakest monthly performance in a year amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (the US central bank) had finished raising interest rates and may begin lowering them next year..

Markets reduced their expectations that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in 2024. According to the CME Group’s FeedWatch service, there is a 25 percent chance that the US central bank will cut interest rates at its monetary policy meeting in March 2024, compared to a 33 percent chance this week. the past.

Mohit Kumar, an expert at Jefferies, said that the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank will likely cut interest rates in June and September, while the Bank of England may move in May and August, perhaps becoming the first central bank to cut interest rates..

The Japanese yen stabilized at 149.57 against the dollar after rising following data showing core consumer price growth in Japan increased slightly in October after declining the previous month..

This reinforced investors’ expectations that inflation may prompt the Bank of Japan to pull back on monetary stimulus soon.

The Japanese currency slowly moved away from its lowest level in 33 years at 151.92 against the dollar, which it touched at the beginning of last week, and rose 1.5% during the month..

The euro stabilized at $1.0909 after data confirmed preliminary estimates published in late October and showed that the German economy contracted slightly in the third quarter compared to the previous three months..

The pound sterling rose for the second day in a row, 0.2% to $1.2559, after data yesterday, Thursday, showed that British companies returned to growth in November, which raised hopes that Britain would avoid a recession..