The Lebanese opposition warns against engaging in the war
Lebanon stands on the verge of a race between engaging in the war between the Hamas movement and Israel, and distancing itself from it to prevent it being drawn into it, in response to the advice received by caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati, who continues to operate his political engines to keep Lebanon from being drawn into the tensions that dominate the region. ; Due to the sharp divisions that result from this, he is indispensable, in light of the crisis that besieges him, and the failure to provide the conditions required to withstand its repercussions and effects.
Although all local parties are acting realistically regarding the heat witnessed on the northern front in southern Lebanon, which remains under control until now, and is governed not to neglect the rules of engagement drawn up by International Resolution “1701”, despite the fact that it is currently being exposed to limited violations, the political scene, on the other hand, is… The background to the exchange of warning bombing between Hezbollah and Israel along the front. There is a deep discrepancy between the opposition forces and the party in their dealings with the escalation between the two parties by exchanging warning bombing. They are still betting on the party’s awareness of the dangers resulting from including the southern front in the ongoing war. Between Gaza and Israel.
In order to prevent this front from being included in the war, the opposition forces, which include 31 representatives belonging to the “Lebanese Forces” and “Phalange” parties, the “Democratic Renewal” bloc, and a number of representatives who are members of the “Forces of Change,” in addition to other independents, took the initiative to issue a warning statement. Through it, they wanted to emphasize their firm position not to lure Lebanon into joining the war, while committing to support the Palestinian cause.
An opposition source told Asharq Al-Awsat that Lebanon, with all its institutions and administrations, both official and local, lacks the minimum conditions that would allow it to absorb the consequences of its move towards entering into a confrontation with Israel, and confirms that the opposition does not intend from its position to warn against involving the country. In a military conflict with Israel, the results are not calculated only, but also because the decision on war and peace is not with the government, as President Mikati indicated, but rather with Hezbollah.
He points out that the position issued by the opposition does not come in the context of escaping responsibility, but rather goes back to the tense situation in Lebanon compared to what it was in the “July War” of 2006, and asks: How can Lebanon enter into a balanced confrontation with Israel in what it lacks? The logistical and military capabilities and capabilities required to absorb the wave of displacement from hot spots, whether in the south or the Western Bekaa, as is currently suffering under the weight of Syrian displacement in light of the blockage of the horizon for securing the return of displaced Syrians to their towns and villages?
The same source believes that Syria in the “July War” of 2006 formed the strategic depth of Lebanon, allowed a portion of the displaced to reside in its territories, and secured the travel of some of them abroad, in contrast to its current situation with the difficulty of securing the needs of its citizens who sneak daily by the thousands into Lebanese territory in light of the continuing siege. She is supposed to.
The source in the opposition warns against dragging Lebanon, if it engages in the war, into an ill-considered military adventure, because recording positions is not enough unless it is coupled with the elements of steadfastness at all levels, and asks: Is it possible to enter into a confrontation as long as Lebanon’s friends abroad are taking action? We are given advice on the need to stay away from tensions in the region, in addition to the fact that most of them are biased in favor of Israel, and the mission of their envoys to Lebanon remains under the umbrella of issuing warnings that are closer to threats, even though President Mikati puts them within the framework of giving advice?
He also asks: Where are Lebanon’s friends? Is it enough to rely on Iran? Although the United States of America seeks to absolve itself of its involvement in the Hamas invasion of the Israeli settlements located within the Gaza envelope, although it hints from time to time, through its Foreign Minister Hussein Amir Abdullahian, that the confrontation with Israel may extend to other regions, unless it stops its aggression against Gaza. .
The same source calls for careful reading of the changes, European and American, in favor of Israel. He believes that the explosive situation in Israel is now under the control of the international community, and local reactions remain within the framework of recording positions. He hopes that the military situation on the southern front will not develop in a way that is difficult to control, and comes out. About the scope of Israel’s preoccupation with reducing its attack on Gaza and its being forced to withdraw part of its military units to the northern front.
But the opposition, led by the representatives of the “Democratic Renewal” and the change and independent representatives, expressed their deep annoyance at the expressions used by the official of communication and media in the “Forces” party, Charles Jabour, in his comment on the pro-Gaza demonstration during the attempt of its participants to storm the entrance of the American embassy in the locality of Awkar in the northern Matn. The chaos, disruption of security, and attacks on public and private property occurred, and they saw, as they confirmed to Asharq Al-Awsat, that he was not forced to do everything he said. Because it raises the level of sectarian and sectarian tension, and brings us back to the “literature” of the civil war.
These representatives point out that they were the first to criticize the chaos and breach of security that occurred in the solidarity demonstration, but they ask the “Forces” Party to intervene to correct the situation. Because it does not express the opposition position.
This is with regard to the opposition. As for other positions, the “Democratic Gathering” headed by Representative Taymour Walid Jumblatt insists, as its sources told Asharq Al-Awsat, that it distinguishes itself from the opposition’s position. The former head of the Progressive Socialist Party, Walid Jumblatt, sent a letter to the Secretary-General of Hezbollah, Hassan Nasrallah, through the party’s liaison and coordination officer, Wafiq Safa, in which he advised him not to be drawn into the war, because Lebanon, in its current state, cannot bear the burden of it. Because he is going through difficult circumstances, and he does not have the ability to provide solutions for them.
But Jumblatt does not keep up with the opposition in its position, and does not see the need to engage in populist bidding that would further sectarian and sectarian tension, and he was the first to take the initiative to prepare to accommodate the exodus from the south if it happened, and this is what he focuses on in his meetings and tours in the mountain, and participates in them. Representatives who are members of the “Democratic Gathering”.
Jumblatt’s position applies to a number of centrist representatives, led by representatives from the Sunni sect, who do not support the opposition statement, even though they are against luring Lebanon into a confrontation, despite their support for the Palestinian cause and their support for the steadfastness of Hamas in Gaza against the Israeli aggression.
But we must stop at the position of the “Free Patriotic Movement” with its head, Representative Gebran Bassil, beginning a tour of the political and official leaders, which he began with a meeting with President Mikati, Walid Jumblatt, and Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, and it comes under the title of protecting Lebanon and strengthening internal unity in light of the difficult circumstances it is going through. The country, which requires everyone to contribute to redressing the situation as a condition for absorbing the repercussions that befall it.
Bassil also made contact with the Secretary-General of Hezbollah, Hassan Nasrallah, and consulted with him about the current political situation and the need to join efforts to save and protect the country. Bassil does not favor Lebanon’s involvement in the war and distances himself from entering into a confrontation with Hezbollah, as long as he is in dialogue with it. To get the election of the President of the Republic out of trouble. Therefore, he seeks to reopen channels of communication with those with whom he has lost contact. To confirm his political presence in neutralizing Lebanon from the war in the region.
But the continuation of the debate between the opposition and the axis of resistance led by Hezbollah will not lead to a change in the course of the war and prevent it from spreading to southern Lebanon, unless the party responds to calls not to lure Lebanon into an unequal confrontation.
The question remains as to why the party would not take the initiative to announce its support for the state if Israel decided to drag it into the war, similar to a similar position it announced by standing behind it in its negotiations regarding the demarcation of the Lebanese-Israeli maritime borders, especially since the axis to which it belongs did not issue any invitation for it to join the war. .
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2023-10-24 17:23:06
