The temperature of the Pacific Ocean will contribute to Otis strengthening on its way towards Mexico and becoming a category 1 hurricane before making landfall, the National Meteorological Service (SMN) warned this October 23.
Otis will impact Guerrero during the morning or noon on Wednesday, October 25, explained Alejandra Margarita Méndez, coordinator of the Service.
Otis is expected to enter Mexico through the port of Acapulco, he added.
“There is a cone of uncertainty that extends from Tecpan de Galeana to Copala. However, most forecast models (point out that) with greater probability, the impact will be in Acapulco,” he said in a conference.
Why will ‘Otis’ get stronger before arriving in Mexico?
Méndez explained that the temperature of the sea area where Otis is located is above 29 degrees Celsius, which increases the chances that the current tropical storm will become a hurricane.
“In addition, the movement of the system is slow (11 kilometers per hour towards the north-northwest). This situation encourages it to develop even more,” he added.
The SMN coordinator indicated that Otis could become a category 1 hurricane with maximum winds of 120 kilometers per hour.
Guerrero, on alert for ‘Otis’
Méndez highlighted the danger that Otis represents for Guerrero, a state in southern Mexico that barely suffered the passage of Tropical Storm Max.
The SMN estimates that between Monday, October 23 and Wednesday, October 25, the accumulated rainfall in Guerrero will be between 300 to 400 millimeters. The possibility of landslides and river overflowing is even higher due to the rains left by Max.
According to the Service, the accumulated rainfall for Michoacán and Oaxaca will be between 150 to 200 millimeters, while for the State of Mexico and Morelos between 100 to 150 millimeters of water are expected.
Will ‘Otis’ leave rain for the Cutzamala System?
Jesús Montes Ortiz, manager of Surface Water and River Engineering, commented that the meteor will generate rain on the basins of the Cutzamala System, the main source of water for the inhabitants of Mexico City.
However, the official clarified that the rainfall will not be “as relevant.”
It was just last week when Conagua reduced the amount of water that reaches CDMX and Edomex from Cutzamala, due to the drought that affects the dams that make up the system.
The amount of liquid went from 13.2 to 12.2 cubic meters per second since last Tuesday, October 17.
Alejandra Margarita Méndez added that CDMX will have accumulated rains of between 25 to 50 millimeters in the coming days due to Otis.
2023-10-24 03:32:46
#Tropical #storm #Otis #hurricane #tourist #port #landfall
