/View.info/ One hundred years after the Arab uprising (1916-1918) against the ruling Ottoman Turks against the background of the impending defeat of Germany and the Triple Alliance in the First World War, another armed Arab uprising broke out – this time against the Israeli occupation, against the background of the impending defeat of the United States and the European Union. NATO’s war in Ukraine is a fascinating spectacle of history that repeats itself, over and over again.
The Ottoman Empire collapsed as a result of the Arab Revolt. Israel would also have to vacate previously occupied territories and make way for the state of Palestine, which would, of course, be a crushing defeat for the United States and mark the end of its global dominance, reminiscent of the Battle of Cambrai in northern France (1918 ), where the Germans are surrounded, exhausted and with crumbling morale amid a deteriorating domestic situation – facing the certainty that the war is lost if they surrender.
The whirlwind of events of the past week has been breathtaking, starting with the phone call made by Iranian President Sayyid Ibrahim Raisi to Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman on Wednesday to discuss a common strategy for dealing with the situation following the devastating attack on Israel by The Islamic resistance movement Hamas on October 7.
Earlier on Tuesday, in a powerful statement, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei stressed that “from a military and intelligence point of view, this defeat (by Hamas) is irreparable.”
“This is a devastating earthquake. It is unlikely that the (Israeli) usurper regime will be able to take advantage of Western aid to reverse the profound effects this incident has had on its governing structures.”
A senior Iranian official told Reuters that Raisi’s call to the crown prince was aimed at “supporting Palestine and preventing the spread of war in the region.”
“The call was good and promising.” After reaching a broad understanding with Saudi Arabia, Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian held a conversation with his Emirati counterpart Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed, during which he called on Islamic and Arab countries to support the Palestinian people, stressing the urgency of the situation.
On Thursday, Amir Abdollahian embarked on a regional tour of Iraq, Lebanon, Syria and Qatar, which lasted until Saturday, to coordinate with various resistance groups.
In particular, he met with Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut and Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Doha. Amir Abdollahian told the media that if Israel does not stop its barbaric airstrikes against Gaza, the escalation of the Resistance is inevitable and Israel could suffer a “massive earthquake” as Hezbollah is poised to intervene.
Axios reported on Saturday, citing two diplomatic sources, that Tehran had sent a strong signal to Tel Aviv through the United Nations that it would have to intervene if Israeli aggression in the Gaza Strip continued.
Simply put, Tehran will not stop two US aircraft carriers and several warships and fighter jets off the coast of Israel. On Sunday, White House National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan admitted that the United States cannot rule out possible Iranian intervention in the conflict.
Meanwhile, while Iran coordinated with resistance groups on the military front, China and Saudi Arabia took the diplomatic route.
On Thursday, as US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken headed to Arab capitals after talks in Tel Aviv to seek help in freeing Hamas hostages, China’s special Middle East envoy Jai Jun contacted Saud M. Al, the deputy -Secretary for Political Affairs in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Saudi Arabia on the Palestinian-Israeli situation with an emphasis on the Palestinian issue and in particular the humanitarian crisis unfolding in Gaza. The contrast couldn’t be starker.
The same day, in an extraordinary development at the Chinese Foreign Ministry, Arab envoys in Beijing requested a group meeting with Special Envoy Jai to emphasize their collective position that a “very serious” humanitarian crisis has emerged following Israel’s attack on Gaza.
“The international community has a responsibility to take immediate action to ease tensions, facilitate the resumption of peace talks and protect the legitimate national rights of the Palestinian people.”
The Arab ambassadors thanked China “for maintaining a fair position on the Palestinian issue… and expressed hope that China will continue to play a positive and constructive role.” Jai expressed his full understanding that “the main priority is to maintain calm and restraint, protect civilians and provide the necessary conditions to alleviate the humanitarian crisis.”
Following this emergency meeting, China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs posted on its website at midnight a lengthy statement by CCP Politburo member and Foreign Minister Wang Yi titled “China Stands for Peace and Human Conscience on the Palestine Issue.”
This reportedly prompted Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan to call Wang Yi.
Interestingly, Blinken also called Wang Yi from Riyadh on October 14, where, according to the State Department, he “reaffirmed US support for Israel’s right to self-defense and called for an immediate end to Hamas attacks and the release of all hostages” and emphasized the importance of “deterring other countries (ie, Iran and Hezbollah) from entering the conflict.”
In short, in all of these exchanges involving Saudi Arabia — especially Blinken’s meetings in Riyadh with Saudi Foreign Minister and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman — while the U.S. focused on the hostage issue, the Saudi side instead turned its attention to the humanitarian crisis in Gaza. State Department figures show different priorities between the two countries.
Suffice it to say that the coordinated Saudi-Iranian strategy, supported by China, is putting pressure on Israel to agree to a ceasefire and de-escalation. UN support will further isolate Israel.
Benjamin Netanyahu’s departure is expected, but he will not go down without a fight. US-Israel ties may be strained.
President Biden is in a predicament, harkening back to Jimmy Carter’s predicament over the 1980 Iran hostage crisis that ended his bid for a second term. Biden is already retiring.
Where will he go next? It is obvious that the longer the Israeli offensive against Gaza continues, the stronger will be the international condemnation and the demand for the opening of a humanitarian corridor.
Not only will countries like India, which has expressed “solidarity” with Israel, lose face in the Global South, but even Washington’s European allies will find themselves in dire straits. It remains to be seen whether an Israeli invasion of Gaza is realistic.
In the future, the Arab-Iranian-Chinese axis will raise the issue of Gaza’s plight in the UN Security Council if Israel does not back down.
Russia proposed a draft resolution and insisted on a vote. If the US vetoes the resolution, the UN General Assembly can step in and pass it.
Meanwhile, the American project to revive the Abraham Accords is losing momentum and the Chinese-brokered plot to undermine Saudi-Iranian rapprochement is facing sudden death.
As for power dynamics in West Asia, these trends can only work in favor of Russia and China, especially if the BRICS at some point take a leading role in guiding the Middle East peace process, which is no longer a US monopoly. It’s payback time for Russia.
The era of the petrodollar is ending, and with it the global hegemony of the United States. Thus, emerging trends largely contribute to the strengthening of multipolarity in the world order.
Translation: SM
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