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The Evolving Stance on Abortion: Donald Trump’s Strategy for the 2024 Republican Primaries

A few days later, during an electoral rally, the former leader clarified: “I believe in three exceptions (to be able to have an abortion): in the event of rape, incest, or if the health of the mother is in danger” . Before expressing his thoughts: “Without exceptions, it is very difficult to win elections.” Since the Supreme Court – reshuffled by Donald Trump when he was president – ​​canceled the constitutional protection of the right to abortion at the end of June 2022, the lights have been red for the Republican Party.

Flexibility

This was particularly illustrated in a vote in very conservative Kansas to protect access to abortion. Electoral disappointments in the states of New York, Wisconsin and Ohio. Or an extremely disappointing score in the mid-term elections of November 2022, in particular due to the mobilization of women and young people. Conservatives continue to suffer setbacks at the polls, punished by Americans who are largely in favor of some access to abortion. “Trump understands that (the Supreme Court ruling) is not popular, just like the position of most Republicans on abortion,” explains political scientist Kyle Kondik.

“So he is trying to give himself some leeway on the issue, in anticipation of the presidential election,” underlines the expert from the University of Virginia. The candidate, favorite in the Republican primaries, has more than once reversed his position. During an interview in 1999, the New Yorker, then a real estate mogul, stated bluntly: “I am very pro-abortion.” Before turning around to seduce the evangelical electorate during the 2016 presidential election. Voters who still largely remain loyal to him, according to opinion surveys.

“Out of the woods”

Now very elusive on the issue of abortion, Donald Trump thus distinguishes himself from his rivals in the 2024 Republican primaries. Because most of the contenders for the nomination have, on the contrary, clearly spoken out in favor of additional restrictions. Starting with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, second in the polls, who passed a law in April to ban voluntary terminations of pregnancies in his state beyond six weeks – when many women do not yet know that They are pregnant.

A measure described as “a terrible error” by Donald Trump. “I reject the idea that anti-abortionists are responsible for the failures in the midterm elections,” retorted Ron DeSantis during the second debate between Republican candidates on Wednesday, inviting the former president, who has so far snubbed these meetings -you televised, “to come out of the woods” to defend his position. The Democratic Party revels in these fratricidal quarrels, instead banking on abortion as a central campaign argument.

2023-09-29 06:01:04


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