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Preview: Salavat Yulaev vs Ak Bars: Analysis, Forecast, and Where to Watch

The Green Derby is the hallmark of the Kontinental Hockey League. This season, Salavat Yulaev and Ak Bars will play each other six times, and the first match will take place this week. The Sport24 editors analyze the teams’ chances and offer a forecast with a high odds. We also tell you where the game will take place, when it will start and where to watch it.

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When does it start and where to watch the match “Salavat Yulaev” – “Ak Bars”

Regular season match KHL “Salavat Yulaev” – “Ak Bars” will take place on Thursday, September 14, at the Ufa Arena. The start is scheduled for 17:00 Moscow time. The key meeting will be broadcast live on Kinopoisk.

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Salavat Yulaev

Russia

White Leopard

Russia

Odds of bookmakers for the match “Salavat Yulaev” – “Ak Bars”

MELBET analysts consider the guests to be the favorites of the derby. The victory of Ak Bars in the match is estimated by the coefficient 1.74 (55% probability). It is proposed to bet on the success of “Salavat Yulaev” with possible overtime and a shootout series 2.09 (45% probability).

The victory of Bilyaletdinov’s team within regular time is quoted as 2.21 (43% probability), and success Ufimtsev — for 2.80 (34% probability). Quotation 4.20 and 23% of the probability is allocated to a draw.

About five to six goals are expected in the match. The total is set at a high level of 5 goals with odds 1.80 for more and 2.00 for less.

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Before the match

After Salavat Yulaev’s elimination from the 2023 Gagarin Cup, already in the first round, many thought that Viktor Kozlov’s headquarters would be left without a job, and the Ufa club would face a mini-revolution. This did not happen. The issue was resolved at the level of the leadership of the republic, where the head coach was trusted. As for transfers, Salavat is unlikely to have become stronger or weaker here – among those who left, it is worth noting Alexander Kadeikin, Viktor Antipin, Ryan Murphy; Alexander Sharov, Alexander Samonov and Matvey Guskov stand out from the entry deals.

The team’s play at the start of the regular season is also not much different from what we saw last season – it seems that Kozlov and his assistants are not planning to change anything radically. At the same time, the coach almost after every match makes mild criticism of the team:

Kozlov about 1:2 from Metallurg: “This is not the kind of hockey Salavat needs. There are a lot of defects, little control of the puck in attack – the integrity is gone.”

Kozlov after 5:2 with Lada: “Salavat’s game should be better. There were a lot of losses, defective transmissions, and mistakes that were not typical for us.”

Kozlov about 1:2 with Avtomobilist: Salavat did not have enough composure to score a goal. We have to play with more discipline.”

In the match with the Chelyabinsk team, Bilyaletidnov’s team played according to the “Brazilian” system – you score as many as you can, and we score as much as we want. After another 40 minutes, Ak Bars was on fire with a score of 2:3, but in the third period they simply crushed the opponent with three goals in a row.

“I think the game was not easy, the opponents acted quite aggressively: they created many chances and forced us to move. Then we adjusted our game, played quite well, and the result was logical,” Bilyaletdinov stated then.

Prediction for the match “Salavat Yulaev” – “Ak Bars”

“Salavat Yulaev” scores few goals against the top teams – in the games with “Avtomobilist” and “Metallurg” the team managed only one goal each. And in general, the “Green Derbies” have not been particularly productive lately – last season there was enough fight in the Ufa-Kazan confrontations, but in four of them only 3 goals were scored, in another two the opponents scored 5 goals between them. Yes, the Ak Bars attack looks brutal, but even it will not be easy to arrange scoring fireworks in a principled and traditionally emotional game.

Our forecast for the match “Salavat Yulaev” – “Ak Bars”: the total number of goals scored is less than 5 per odds 2.00.

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2023-09-13 05:00:00

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