Russia’s second line of defense in the Zaporozhye region in southern Ukraine, where Ukrainian forces have seen advances in recent days, could prove weaker than the first. This was stated by the American Institute for the Study of War in its latest analysis of the development of the front in Ukraine. Since the beginning of the Ukrainian counter-offensive, i.e. roughly since the beginning of June, he said, he has not observed that, with exceptions, new Russian units have moved into the area.
Kiev
10:49 am 23 August 2023 Share on Facebook
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Ukrainians fire from a rocket launcher in the Zaporozhye region | Photo: Viacheslav Ratynskyi | Source: Reuters
On Tuesday, Ukraine announced an advance near the village of Robotyne in the Zaporozhye region, bringing its troops closer to the strategically important city of Tokmak.
“The Ukrainian advance in the Robotyne area brought Ukrainian forces closer to the possibility of launching operations against the second line of defense, which could be relatively weaker than the Russian first line of defense in the area,” he said american institute.
He pointed out that Russia probably does not have regular army units in the area that are not already involved in the fighting.
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“The observed lack of Russian formations and units in the second line of defense in the west of the Zaporozhye region may mean that parts of the units and formations already engaged in fighting will occupy these positions,” the American analysts also wrote.
The British Ministry of Defense, which refers to the findings of British military intelligence, also warned on the social network X, formerly Twitter, that the damage to the bridges connecting the Crimean peninsula with mainland Ukraine complicates logistics for Russian forces in the south of Ukraine.
At the beginning of August, shelling damaged the bridges near the towns of Čonhar and Heničesk. According to the British ministry, the Russians are forced to use temporary pontoon bridges, but they cannot withstand the full onslaught of heavy equipment headed for the front. According to London, the Russian forces are thus partly dependent on the route leading through Armyansk to the Perekop Isthmus, which, however, represents a detour.
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2023-08-23 08:49:00
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