Lebanon has entered a new phase of economic and financial collapse and the dissolution of the state and its institutions, in parallel with the continuation of the bank strike for about two weeks and press leaks about US sanctions that will affect the Governor of the Banque du Liban, Riad Salameh, and despite the denial of this information, the repercussions of all this scene have begun and it will not be easy. stop it.
The speed of the rise of the dollar exchange rate in the past weeks seemed uncontrollable, which may mean that the collapse will reach record levels, with the ensuing popular movements and riots affecting banks and official and public institutions, so that the current tension affecting a wide segment of citizens will explode. In a way or another.
All these developments are accompanied by a major political crisis that prevents a solution to the presidential crisis and prolongs the period of vacuum. Indeed, the vacuum may expand to include many security positions, from the Director General of Public Security and the Director General of the Internal Security Forces to, in the coming months, the governorship of the Banque du Liban and the Army Command.
Despite all these serious facts on the Lebanese arena, the European and American desire is still pushing for the situation in Lebanon not to explode and escape completely, and this trend appeared clearly during the five-way meeting held in Paris and in the French efforts to find immediate and local solutions to some crises and dues.
According to well-informed sources, the chaos and chaos that Lebanon may turn towards will remain first under the ceiling of not having a civil war, given that this matter is still a red line for several internal parties, headed by Hezbollah, because it is the most capable force to achieve security breaches or prevent them from occurring on the sectarian level. Or religious or political.
The sources believe that Hezbollah’s ability also makes the transformation of chaos and collapse, regardless of its size, into a kind of division. The party’s rejection of federalism in all its forms puts another end to the collapse that will not be easy to overcome in the next stage, despite the desire of several forces and parties to go to Expanded decentralization, for example.
