Prof.Dr. Yong Poovorawan Head of the Center of Excellence in Clinical Virology Department of Pediatrics Faculty of Medicine Chulalongkorn University Posted a message via Facebook Yong Poovorawan about COVID-19 end game by entering the disease of the season, saying that COVID-19 did not go away. and will likely end with the next seasonal disease
In this fourth year, counting the number of infected patients to no avail Because the reported numbers are much lower than reality. Now around the world there should be more than 70 percent of infections, or about 5 billion people. The reported number of infections worldwide is estimated at almost 700 million people, about 10 times lower than the actual number. Thailand did not report the number of infections. already Report only hospitalized and deceased patients.
The World Health Organization will likely stop counting numbers soon. after the epidemic in China subsided (because most of them are infected)
The severity of the disease has always decreased. More than 80 percent of the deaths were the elderly. and have congenital disease There will be no going back to close the house and close the city again.
Vaccines, especially mRNA, should be a buyer’s market. The vaccine is short-lived, and one bottle still contains 7-10 doses, making it difficult to administer. to have the least amount of loss coupled with being expensive There are complications that can be found. than the vaccine used in the past and in the future compared to the severity of the disease It is difficult for developing countries to access.
The need for injections every 4-6 months is no longer necessary. when entering a seasonal disease The vaccination will be left once a year, making it more difficult to make appointments for people to get vaccinated at the same time to reduce the loss of vaccines. Especially the short-lived vaccine. storage is difficult use negative temperature make it more expensive It was even more difficult to get the vaccine that matched the strain. Because development requires a high cost, and once developed, the virus changes species again.
In the near future it is likely to see numbers of countries using different vaccines. effectiveness in reducing violence Or how did you die? When most of all countries have been infected. It will be a look back at the lessons of the past.
Thailand has been infected by more than 70% to date, probably 80%, resulting in natural immunity in conjunction with immunity from vaccines. in almost all populations And if necessary, vaccination once a year, given in risk groups Amount of vaccine used per year would be like the flu with an epidemic season in the rainy season or the first semester of school in June itself
Annual vaccination should be from April to May to prevent outbreaks in the rainy season. that will start from June
