According to the results of all scenarios by experts from the Analytical Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington (CSIS), Washington will win, but at a very high price.
CSIS played this war game 24 times to answer two key questions: Will China succeed in invading the island and at what cost. The report states that military aggression will fail.
“The United States and Japan are losing dozens of ships, hundreds of aircraft and thousands of troops. Such losses would hurt the global position of the United States for many years,” the report said. In most scenarios, the US Navy lost two aircraft carriers and 10 to 20 large surface ships. About 3,200 US troops will be killed in three weeks of fighting, nearly half of what the US has lost in two decades of fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan.
According to the report, China will also be hit hard. His navy would be destroyed, the core of his landing force destroyed, and tens of thousands of soldiers taken prisoner. According to the results of the headquarters games, China will lose about 10,000 troops and 155 fighter aircraft, as well as 138 capital ships.