If elections are held next Sunday, only 35 percent of Bulgarians eligible to vote would turn out to vote, according to a nationally representative study by ‘Alfa Research’.
It is part of the agency’s regular monitoring. It was conducted in the period 1 – 13 December 2022, among 1023 adult citizens from all over the country, through a direct standardized interview with tablet. It was made with its own funds.
According to the survey COAT OF ARMS maintains its leading position with 23.4%, but loses two footholds in October. The party leader, Boyko Borisov, enjoys 19.6% confidence and 55.7% distrust.
In second place, with 17.7%, there is “Let’s keep the change going.” The outflow from the party in the last two months is about 2.5 points. It is the party that suffers the most serious damage from the refusal to vote by young voters. The approval rating of the leaders Kiril Petkov and Asen Vassilev also decreased – from 23% in the previous months to 15-16% at the end of the year. For the first time, their disapproval crosses the 50% threshold.
DP extension it is one of the parties with a weaker consensus outflow. It remains at the usual levels for the movement in the country of 10.4%, and confidence in its leader Mustafa Karadayi is 10.1%. However, it is also notable for the highest level of distrust among party leaders – 57.4%.
“Rebirth” it is the other party that has relatively minor losses. Support for her replicates the October vote (10%) and approval for Kostadin Kostadinov is 13.9% against 55.5% disapproval.
The electoral positions of BSP extension it weakened from 9.3% in the October election to 8.5% in early December. Kornelia Ninova has lost 4 points from her personal rating and currently enjoys 14.1% trust against 55.1% distrust.
Support for “Democratic Bulgaria” decreased by about 1 point in the last two months. It currently stands at 6.5%. Confidence in coalition co-chairs is also wavering. At the end of the year, Hristo Ivanov has 14.5% approval versus 47.9% disapproval. Vladislav Panev remains less known with a positive attitude of 9.2% against 33.3% negative. Third co-president Atanas Atanasov receives 8.3% confidence versus 52.5% no confidence.
At the edge of the 4 percent barrier is support for “Bulgarian Rise” (4.3%). However, its leader Stefan Yanev continues to be seen as a compromise figure, with moderate trust and low distrust – 17.5% vs 30.8%.
15.2% have not yet left the group of active voters, but are very undecided about which party to support. Prominent among them are supporters of parties that have remained outside the parliament, but also those of relatively new political formations such as ‘Let’s Keep the Change’ and ‘Bulgarian Rising’.
Although the voting intentions reproduce the structure of the parliamentary vote on 2 October, voter attitudes show a strong disillusionment with the performance of all parliamentary parties, a trend towards declining voter turnout and, consequently, the possibility of an unexpected change of position in the last snap election.
