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Recent analyzes say Putin’s energy weapons will kill more people in Europe than the war in Ukraine. Photos/Illustrations
The Economist modeled the effect of rising electricity prices on cold-season deaths and concluded that current energy costs would likely account for an additional 147,000 deaths if it were a normal winter.
In very cold winters it could rise to 185,000, but even if it were a mild winter the figure would still be 79,000.
While estimates of battlefield deaths in the war so far are around 60,000, up to 30,000 each for Russia and Ukraine.
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The Economist’s statistical model includes all EU countries along with the UK, Norway and Switzerland as mentioned The TelegraphSunday (27/11/2022).
Before the war, Russia supplied between 40 and 50 percent of the natural gas imported by the EU.
As a result, residential gas and electricity prices have soared.
Temperatures this winter are expected to be less extreme than in recent decades, and a regular flu season is also expected.
The model finds that, when averaging weather conditions, a 10% increase in the price of electricity is associated with a 0.6% increase in deaths.