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New intelligence on mobilization in Belarus: call up 50,000 new soldiers before the new year

The General Staff of Ukraine signs it Facebook Monday evening.

According to Pravda Ukrainian The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has received information that the military commissariat of Brest oblast in Belarus has announced that a total of 50,000 new conscription orders will be sent by 31 December.

Interdependent relationship

If this information is true, it will mean a significant escalation of the level of tension on the Ukraine-Belarus border.

Belarus already has close cooperation with Russia. Many experts believe that the two authoritarian regimes have a relationship of mutual dependence. While Aleksandr Lukashenko is at the mercy of Putin’s military backing to maintain his regime of terror, Putin depends on access to Belarusian territory to be able to attack Ukraine from the north.

In addition, Russia has received significant numbers of tanks and ammunition.

Tie up the Ukrainian forces

President of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko. Photo: West Nusa Tenggara

When Russia invaded Ukraine on the night of February 24, it was from the north through Belarus. Russia has also deployed Iskander-M missiles in Belarus. These missiles can carry nuclear warheads.

For Ukraine, what is happening in Belarus is decisive for the size of the forces that intend to be able to withstand an attack from the north. By recalling an additional 50,000 troops, the Ukrainian military will be forced to move forces north.

While the likelihood of Belarusian soldiers crossing the border into Ukraine is unlikely, the risk is too great to ignore.

– You can interpret this as Russia plans to increase the number of troops

At the same time, there are reports that Russia is now opening up for foreign nationals to fight in the Russian army, writes the Russian news agency Interfax, reports The Espresso.

– You can interpret this as Russia planning to increase the number of troops with foreign nationals. Now they can be mobilized, although there have already been previous cases where this has been done. But now they can do it legally, and to a greater extent than before, says Ilmari Käihkö, a senior lecturer in military science at the Norwegian Defense Academy.

The decision primarily targets guest workers from former Soviet states, who now reside in Russia.

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