November 3, 2022 – GISTDA’s Space Technology Research Center uses the Space Traffic Management System (ZIRCON) to track and predict the fall of the Longmarch 5B-Y4 rocket component, which found that parts of the rocket will fall to the ground on Saturday, 5 November 2022 and could affect Thailand.
Because this space object travels through Thailand every day. (As the graph shows the direction of movement through Thailand) today (November 3) it will orbit between 13:54 and 13:56, crossing some areas of Chiang Rai, Chiang Mai, Phayao. Nan, Nong Khai, Udon Thani, Kalasin, Roi Et, Yasothon, Amnat Charoen, Ubon Ratchathani The aforementioned space object currently orbits an average height of about 177 kilometers from Earth and weighs about 21.6 tons (during the fall space object, it will weigh less because some will burn in the atmosphere)
The point that should be the drop point of the rocket parts still need to be closely monitored. And it can only be accurately predicted when space objects are on average less than 130 kilometers from Earth. So the closer it is to Earth, the more accurate it is.
The warning of the parts of the rocket falling to Earth this time. The GISTDA Space Technology Research Center uses the ZIRCON system developed by GISTDA researchers to analyze, track and predict, which meets international standards.
For the Long March 5B Y4 operation this time took place on Monday 31 October last. bring Mengtian module to Tiankong space station, with the aim of encouraging astronauts to conduct science experiments and research in space, such as fluid physics, materials science, space technology experiments, etc.
However, considering the risks that will present themselves in Thailand today, the chances of being hit are only 1.4%, a very low value.
However, GISTDA will monitor the situation and areas at risk of crashing parts of the rocket 24 hours a day and will continue to report progress.
Cr. Date and image of the ZIRCON system: GISTDA Space Technology Research Center
