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Unlike last year, let’s say it will now be a bit colder and snowier. From the above information provided to me, there will be a shortage of drugs and medical supplies, alcohol. Drug prices will also rise. Fuel supplies will at some point become problematic in Bulgaria.
Prices will vary a lot, but over a period of about 4 months the fuel will rise. If I have to answer more specifically about the price, it will increase by 2-2.3 times.
Even if for a short time, gasoline really risks reaching BGN 7-8, sometimes for speculation, sometimes for objective factors. In general, the problem will arise from the shutdown of energy resources by the Russian side in the middle of winter. Fortunately, this will be temporary, the situation will normalize by March.
President Erdogan can be of great use to us. We are the gateway for their goods to the EU. We can use it in possible negotiations for cheaper oil and gas, for which Erdogan would help us. He can also be a successful broker in Ukraine’s peace negotiations between the EU and Russia, that’s how I see it.
Not even the mode, there will be some crashes in the system, always for a short time. The price of electricity will hold up, there may be a slight increase, but not drastic. And if we talk about heating, the wood will reach 180 BGN per cubic meter.
A food crisis will not be allowed. Most traders will try to hold prices, waiting for the storm to pass figuratively. Either way, the gap between rich and poor will widen even more in Bulgaria, between those who count money for their bread and those who wonder which island to go to to warm up. The price of bread will rise above BGN 2.
Because grain traders will start exporting it due to higher prices on Western stock exchanges. So we will have to import and the imported is not of good quality, including the Ukrainian one. Oil will remain at this 6-5 BGN price.
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