ANP
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NOS News•today, 12:55 pm
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In the latest Polling Guide, the BoerBurgerBeweging, now represented with 1 seat in the House of Representatives, is making further gains. Where the party a month ago already reached 9 to 13 seats, that number has risen to 14 to 19.
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This makes BBB in the Polling Guide, a weighted average of the seat polls of I&O Research, Ipsos/AToday in Kantar, about the same size as the PVV (14 to 18 seats) and D66 (13 to 17 seats). And clearly larger than other established parties such as GroenLinks (9-13), the PvdA (8-12), the SP (7-9) and the CDA (6-10).
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VVD falls 7 seats back
The only one that still stands out is the VVD, although it has had to give up further ground in recent months, like most other coalition parties. Prime Minister Mark Rutte’s party now has 24 to 29 seats, a drop of about 7 seats compared to the current number in the House of Representatives.
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According to research by I&O Research and Ipsos/EenVandaag, the VVD is losing seats to BBB, among other things, just like the CDA. To a lesser extent, both parties also see voters moving to other right-wing parties such as JA21, which is also in the plus with 5 to 9 seats. BBB still makes the most profit among people who did not vote in last year’s elections.
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According to political scientist Tom Louwerse, the maker of the Polling Indicator, the available research shows that switchers not only appreciate Van der Plas’ leadership, but BBB also explicitly benefits from the nitrogen crisis, which currently dominates the political agenda. “It will be interesting to see what happens if the attention for this decreases again and, for example, immigration becomes a major issue again. An issue that right-wing voters associate more with parties such as PVV, Forum for Democracy and JA21.”
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Another ongoing trend is declining support for three of the four coalition parties. Only the ChristenUnie manages to evade this, with 5 to 7 seats.
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Among the left-wing/progressive parties, the Party for the Animals is doing well with 8 to 10 seats. Volt comes out at 2 to 5, Think at 2 to 4 and Bij1 at 0 to 2.
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At the other end of the political spectrum, FVD loses at 3 to 5 seats, the SGP also gains at 3 to 5 and 50Plus remains stable at 0 to 2.
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