Erna Solberg’s Conservatives are most prominent in Kantar’s July poll for TV 2. Now the Conservatives are smelling in the 1930s again.
With 29.5 per cent, 3.2 percentage points higher than last month, the Conservatives would have been by far the largest in the Storting, with 53 seats. Together with the FRP and the Liberal Party, the bourgeoisie wanted to conquer the majority, even without support from KrF.
Red larger than Sp
The biggest losers in this poll are the Center Party and the Socialist People’s Party, with a decline of 1.0 and 1.7 percentage points respectively. And for the first time, the Red Party is bigger than the Center Party in a Kantar poll. 6.9 percent for Red against Sps 6.7.
Central board member of Sp, Gro-Anita Mykjåland, believes that the government party’s halving since the election is due to both many difficult issues and that the party itself has not done a good enough job.
– We have had a demanding time. There is war in Europe. There have been many crises for the government to deal with, and then this overshadows a lot. But this is a clear feedback that we need to roll up our sleeves and work harder.
The Labor Party’s deputy leader Bjørnar Skjæran would have liked to have seen the Labor Party enter the summer with far higher support than 21.4 per cent.
– We will have to stand by that. Then we will have to continue working on the issues that are important to people and bet that the voters will find their way back to us eventually, Skjæran’s comment reads.
Mot all time high
The right is on its way to historically high support. The last time the party was over 30 percent on Kantar’s polls was in January 2018, then by 30.5 percent. In April 2014, the party was also at 29.5 percent. But the record in recent times was the July poll before the election in 2013. Then the Conservatives got 34.1 percent.
Deputy leader Henrik Asheim believes that the Conservatives are now being counted on to point out their own solutions.
– I think it’s about several things. I believe that the Conservatives are now perceived as the clear alternative to the government we have, which is struggling in many areas and is behind in many issues that people are concerned about.
More on the fence
The background figures for this poll indicate that the Conservatives are currently the party that has by far the highest loyalty among their own voters, while an increasing proportion of the governing parties’ voters are sitting on the fence. Not since the turn of the year 2010/11 have several of the respondents stated that they would not vote if there had been an election tomorrow.
There are many indications that it is male voters who to the greatest extent fail Labor. The right, on the other hand, currently has a marked predominance of male sympathizers.
Stuck at the bottom
At the bottom we find KrF and the Green Party, both below the threshold of 4 percent. These two parties are gaining very few new voters, and if the trend continues, it will be a joke for both before the municipal and county council elections next year.
Opinion poll July: Edges for TV 2:
Party: July -22 Change Mandates
Ap: 21,4 -0,4 42
Right: 29.5 +3.2 53
Frp: 13,1 -0,8 24
Sp: 6,7 -1,0 12
SV: 8,3 -1,7 15
Left: 4.4 -0.7 8
Red: 6.9 -0.1 12
KrF: 3.1 +1.1 2
MdG: 3,0 +0,3 1
Andre: 3,9 +0,4 0
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