The first day of Russia’s attack confirms that it has chosen Kiev as its main target. And the main task is to change the Ukrainian government through Kiev, Graube assessed.
He explained that repelling the attack was complicated by the fact that the directions of the attack were unknown until the last moment. As a result, Ukraine had to build a defensive line on the broad front.
It is now important to stay for at least another 24 hours, which could allow the defense forces to cluster and concentrate around the main areas of attack. In that case, not only will Russia’s attack become more concentrated, but Ukraine’s defense will also become more concentrated.
Graube also pointed out that Russia is trying to avoid its own losses by using long-range weapons. He also expressed surprise that there are currently no mass casualties on the Ukrainian side, as casualties are inevitable when attacking populated areas.
As another important aspect, Graube emphasized the moral stability that Russian troops do not have at the same level as Ukraine. “We are used to thinking that Russian soldiers are morally resilient, but let’s remember that most of the units we see in Syria or elsewhere are special task forces or specially trained soldiers. Here [uzbrukumā Ukrainai] are involved in over 80% of Russia [armijas] staff, and regular units do not have this kind of moral endurance, ”Graube explained.
In addition, in such circumstances, time is important for Russia, so it is trying to occupy Kiev as quickly as possible.
“So there are precise attacks, an attempt to use technology, long-range weapons, non-contact weapons to break the Ukrainian spirit. But it seems to me that they have severely recalculated their plans, ”said Graube.
The former NAF commander also highlighted the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky, who now seems to be becoming a symbol of his people. “It strengthens the spirit of the Ukrainians, while the morale of Russia’s regular troops is definitely deteriorating. It will be made worse when the units appear in the units, ”Graube said.
CONTEXT:
Russian President Vladimir Putin recognizes Donetsk and Luhansk “People’s Republics” on February 21 independence from Ukraine. Putin also threatened Ukraine by demanding that Ukraine immediately cease hostilities against the separatists, “otherwise all responsibility for the possible continued bloodshed will rest entirely with the conscience of the Ukrainian regime.”
However, Ukraine and the West emphasize that it is Russia, led by Putin, that is carrying out the aggression against Ukraine, pulling up to 150,000 troops off the Ukrainian border and threatening a new invasion of Ukrainian territory.
But on February 24, Putin announcedthat Russia has launched a “military operation” in Ukraine and called on the Ukrainian army to “lay down its arms”. This caused the democratic world even more condemnation and the next steps in sanctions against Russia.
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