O Atlético-MG won the Corinthians por 3 a 0, yesterday (10), at Mineirão and took another step towards winning the title of Brazilian championship. The triumph over the team from São Paulo made Galo reach 68 points on the leaderboard, and thus, with a 97.9% chance of being champion. The study that points out this probability is from the Department of Mathematics of the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG).
Deputy leader of the competition with 58 points, the palm trees thrashed the Atlético-GO by 4 a 0 in the round. However, with a difference of 10 points against Atlético-MG, Abel Ferreira’s team appears with a 1.5% chance of winning the title. O Flamengo, 3rd place with 54 points, has two games less than his competitors — he plays in the 31st round today, against Bahia, at Maracanã, at 7pm — and appears with only 0.56% chance of being champion.
At the bottom of the table, the numbers show that the situation is getting more complicated for the three clubs that still dream of staying in the Serie A of Brasileirão. O Guild, 19th place with 29 points — and who has a game in hand — appears with a 90% risk of falling for the B series.
I o Sport, which is the 18th with 30 points, and lost at home to America-MG by 3 to 2 in this round, it is closer to the second division: the study shows the team from Pernambuco with a 97.1% chance of falling. And the Youth, that beat Inter 2-1 yesterday, it was 17th with 33 points, but with a 67.6% risk of falling. THE Chapecoense, the competition’s lantern, has already dropped to Serie B.
Santos, São Paulo, Atlético-GO and Bahia, which are the teams closest to the Z-4, have less than 10% risk of falling. O Peixe beat RB Bragantino 2-0, alleviated their situation and presents 9.3%. The São Paulo Tricolor tied 1-1 against Fortaleza, but has only a 7% risk of falling. The team from Goiás 8.5% and the Bahian with 9.6%.
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