FHI on influenza: – Facing an uncertain winter
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FHI on influenza: – Facing an uncertain winter

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On Monday, doctor Trine Hessevik Paulsen at the National Institute of Public Health told Dagbladet that so far it is uncertain how extensive the outbreak in the coming flu season will be in Norway.

– It has been several years since there was plenty of influenza virus in Norway, and therefore we assume that the immunity of the population is lower than it usually is. In the event of an outbreak of influenza next winter, this can contribute to many people becoming ill, Paulsen tells Dagbladet and continues:

– At the same time, we have seen that the measures against coronavirus as a whole have led to the absence of influenza. It is therefore possible that any measures against covid-19 also this winter may contribute to a lower level of influenza in Norway. In other words, we are facing an uncertain winter with the flu in mind.

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Children and illness

NIPH has already registered an increase in the proportion detected cases of the cold virus rhinovirus in Norway.

Paulsen further explains that the flu outbreaks usually start around Christmas time, but that there is greater uncertainty associated with the beginning and peak of this season’s flu outbreaks as the flu has been virtually absent in Norway for the past year and a half.

– Probably the immunity of the population is lower than it usually is. This probably applies especially to the youngest children, many of whom have never had a flu infection before. If there is an outbreak of influenza next winter, it is therefore likely that many children will become ill, says Paulsen.

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Influenza vaccine

She says that it will be especially important that vulnerable children receive the flu vaccine this year.

– There are about 1.6 million people in Norway with an increased risk of serious flu. These are recommended flu vaccines. The recommendation applies to both children and adults, but we see that especially children with risk conditions have low vaccination coverage against influenza, says Paulsen and concludes:

– This autumn, it is especially important that children with conditions that predispose to increased risk receive the flu vaccine.

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