Health and the autonomies have looked the other way for the economy to grow. Big mistake. More infections, fewer tourists and a new stick to the economy
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Throughout the pandemic, the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) has been able to predict with surgeon precision the impact that Covid-19 was going to cause months in advance. In relation to Spain, this body dependent on the University of Washington, in Seattle (USA), and promoted by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, predicted in September 2020 that a third wave would erupt between late December and early January 2021, and that its effects would be devastating, with thousands of hospital admissions and in UCIS, and also with thousands of deaths.
Unfortunately, their omens fell on deaf ears in some regions, who once again lacked sufficient means to care for the sick, repeating the tragic mistake of the first wave. The IHME also ventured what was going to happen in Spain this summer. His projections predicted a precipitous drop in the occupation of acute and critical care beds due to vaccination, although he did not rule out a significant spike in infections among the unvaccinated, which would be accentuated as social distancing and the use of masks were relaxed.
The mega-outbreak of adolescents in the Balearic Islands has been a sample of such predictions, confirming what seems to be the trend of the pandemic if a new strain of the virus does not alter it: infections will not fall, although the use of hospital resources will. Health and the autonomies were aware of this and have looked the other way for the economy to grow. Big mistake. More infections, fewer tourists and a new stick to the economy.