Voter attitudes speak of a parliament as fragmented as the 45th. Sociologists Genoveva Petrova from Alpha Research and Dobromir Zhivkov from Market Links on bTV united around this thesis.
“However, the series of scandals related to the revelations of the previous government do not give indications that there is a drastic reduction in the result of GERB, because the support has reached its solid core.
The upward trend of ITN is not so great. Slavi Trifonov’s refusal to run for MP could have a demobilization process, “Zhivkov said.
Both agencies came out with data from their research before the start of the campaign.
According to the survey of “Market Links”, which was conducted among 1067 people over 18 in the country in the period 19-27 May 2021 by the methods of direct personal interview and online survey – GERB-UDF – 21%, ITN – 17 , 6%, BSP – 17.1%, DB – 11.8%, DPS – 9.4%, ISMV – 4.2%, IMRO – 2.9%, “Will” and NFSB – 1.2%
According to the survey of “Alpha Research”, conducted in the period May 30 – June 7 and conducted with personal funds and conducted among 1,007 adult citizens through a direct interview with tablets in the homes of respondents – GERB-UDF have 20.3%, ITN – 18 , 2%, BSP – 14.4%, DB – 11.9%, MRF – 9.9%, ISMV – 5.3%, Bulgarian Patriots – 3.4%.
According to the two sociologists, the difference between the first and the second political formations is not due to the greater support for ITN, but to the outflow of that of GERB.
According to Petrova, the reaction of the voters after the sanctions under the “Magnitsky” law clearly shows, at least initially, a direct effect on the support of GERB, which is declining significantly.
“It is unclear whether this will continue. The positions are close, ITN does not register a significant increase in ITN, but they have a slight increase. The more significant drop of GERB makes the distance small “, she added.
Regarding the MRF, Zhivkov clarified that the political formation also reaches the core:
“The MRF is one of the very few political forces in the last 30 years that has formed a very strong electorate and is generally not influenced by political events.
MRF voters vote for the MRF in a very mobilized, very consistent manner, no significant change in the attitudes of their voters is expected.
“There are some signs of part of the electorate dropping out, but in general they are reduced to a core and there will be no significant impact,” he explained.
The caretaker government is influencing the election campaign, creating a sharp confrontational environment, Petrova believes.
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