I have a sharp impact on inflation. The biggest mistake is to leave the pension in the bank, real estate prices are likely to rise

Inflation will be. For the coming years, everyone has to prepare for it. Practically everyone killed him anyway. But then it is not clear which form inflation will dominate; withgives inflation asset prices, or inflation spotebitelsk.

First the most likely scene, the scene dominating inflation asset prices, its probability is about 80 percent. According to him, in the years after the pandemic, in principle, pedopandemic development is on the rise. Simultaneous consumer inflation as a transient phenomenon and at the latest from year 2023 with globln vrt disinflan and deflan tendencies. They will be on n central bank respond to go intensely titan new hundreds of billions. So the prices will be inflated action i property, while a year on bank deposits is often and more often not in dispute today. One important thing for such a scene is to have as many of your own pension investments as possible, which is second to none. The main reason is the minimum dispute here in the bank, where they will be beaten for a year, so abundant that we don’t even know about it yet.

The type of scn has a probability of about 20 percent. Interplay of demographic, geopolitical and other ways of lasting consumer growth inflation. Central bank they will have to take years to cut titn billion. Pedluenm sttm hello financial enough to be on the verge of collapse bankruptcy. They fall shares i real estate. When you change the year on bonds they will want to invest your income from property. Toho doshne combination long distance njm and decline real estate prices. Poptvka after them ochabne iz dvodu vyho year on hypotkch. In the extreme case, globln tk occurs recession, a stock crash and a dramatic, in R roughly aunt’s decline real estate prices. In such a case, the only store of value would be a small asset, you gold, ppadn nkter crypto. The crypt should be successful in both scenes, but again there is a threat that the first of that reason and strong action will be made more nervous. stty and their central bank. At the same time, it is true that disputes here at the bank will be noticeably lost on any of the scenes: either due to the disputed nominal year, or due to a strong consumer inflation.

Luke Kovanda, Ph.D.

Nrodn ekonomick rada vldy (NERV)

Chief Economist, Trinity Bank

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