SÃO PAULO, Feb 11 (Reuters) – Brazil is expected to produce 2.7 million tons of coffee in 2021, or about 45 million 60-kilo bags, a drop of 27.3% year-on-year, due to a decline in the arabica crop , a variety that is in its negative biennium in this year’s cycle, said the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
Last month, the National Supply Company (Conab) had estimated Brazil’s coffee harvest between 43.85 and 49.58 million bags.
Private agents project a higher production, above 50 million bags, for a harvest that suffered from drought in 2020.
The IBGE estimated an average yield of 1,509 kg / ha, 23.3% less, and cited that the planted area would fall by 5%, while the harvested area will decrease by 5.2%.
Regarding the Arabica variety, the estimated production was 1.9 million tons (31.7 million bags), which represents a decrease of 33.6% compared to the previous year.
In 2020, the arabica harvest was positive biennial, the largest in IBGE’s historical series.
“However, 2021 will be a negative two-year year, which should translate into a significant decrease in production. Minas Gerais, the largest producer of Arabica coffee (68.9% of the total) estimated its production at 1.3 million tons , a decrease of 35.9% compared to the previous year, “said IBGE.
The robusta coffee harvest was estimated at 807,200 tons (13.45 million bags), which represents a decrease of 6.7% compared to the previous year. (By Roberto Samora. Edited in Spanish by Javier Leira)
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