A week of great contrasts in the political, social and economic environment in U.S. Triumph in Georgia of the two Democratic seats to Senate, comes to give a touch of great hope to the population to try to control the pandemic on the one hand, and on the other, reactivate a economy that has been losing strength with great speed. As a hard fact, that of job creation in December it was “negative”In 140 thousand places, with a Pressure inflationary in wages of 5.1% per year and a unemployment rate which remained at 6.7%. Hence the 20 basis point upward movement of the bono to 10 years at levels of 1.12%, not seen since March 2020.
The administration of Joe Biden it will have two phases. The first will be an “expansive” policy. It will be looking for fiscal stimuli that help contain the slowdown and provide support to individuals, families and companies, but beyond the already authorized package of about 900 billion dollars. We are talking about at least another “additional stimulus package” between now and March, which will most likely have to be combined with a stricter control of activities that limits the acceleration of cases by Covid in this country, which practically reaches 23 million infected, almost 7% of the total population that amounts to 331.5 million people. state as California, Texas, Florida, NY, Illinois, Ohio, Georgia and Pennsylvania They stand out for the lack of controls. Some of them were decisive even for the triumph of Joe Biden on Donald Trump.
Leaders Democrats consider that a second trial against Donald Trump could be carried out until after Joe Biden take power (January 20) and prevent the first days of his mandate from being contaminated with this act. They will give some time.
Definition of Candidates will be key in Jalisco
Regarding the intermediate elections in Jalisco, Let’s talk about Guadalajara and of Zapopan, as important municipal entities of the state.
According to Massive Caller, in Guadalajara the match of Citizen movement has a marginal advantage over Brunette considering 22.5 vs 20.9% respectively, a “technical tie”. However, in another survey like Democracy, the match of Brunette registers a difference of almost ten points over Citizen movement when registering 34.3% vs 24.1%.
Regarding the Municipality of Zapopan, according to Massive Caller, the match of Brunette has an advantage vs Citizen movement by registering 26.4% vs 22.8% respectively. According to Democracy, Brunette leads the polls with 37.1% vs. Citizen movement of 20.7% but the PAN as third with 17.3%.
That is why the candidates will have a relevance that will give important definitions. We have seen that BrunetteAccording to its polls (whose methodology and results are not disclosed) it is defining candidates in other states and the polls are moving, in some cases already against it.
Among the candidates in these Municipalities by Brunette, highlight: Carlos Lomelí, Alberto Uribe, Blanca Vargas and Christopher Castro, in that order of importance.
On the side of Citizen movement, this Ismael del toro, Mirza Flores and Juan José Frangie.
Depending on each candidate, the polls move in an important way. Hence in the case of Brunette, we see as options Carlos Lomelí and Christopher Castro, in that order of opportunities.
In the case of Citizen movement, Ismael del toro shown as a strong candidate and further back Juan José Frangie.
On the side of PAN, Fernando Guzman seems to be the strong candidate.
It is very likely that in the coming weeks we will see a lot of political movement in these entities. The coin is in the air.
@1ahuerta
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